Both Newcastle and Arsenal return to Premier League action this weekend off the back of winning their respective Carabao Cup third-round ties in midweek. Indeed, the Magpies triumphed 4-1 at home to Bradford, while the Gunners saw off Port Vale 2-0 away from home.
However, their last league outings saw Newcastle held to a 0-0 draw away at Bournemouth, while Arsenal needed a late equaliser to draw 1-1 with Manchester City at the Emirates Stadium. Nonetheless, we are expecting an intriguing match-up when these two teams face off against each other at St. James' Park on Sunday afternoon.
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Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction: Gunners to feel frustrated at SJP?
Key stats
- Both teams have lost just once in the Premier League this season.
- Newcastle have scored the second-fewest amount of goals (three) in the division.
- Arsenal are winless in their last three visits to St. James' Park in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Arsenal
First and foremost, we are not anticipating a high-scoring game, given that these two sides boast some of the best defensive records in the division so far. Arsenal were heavily criticised for their lack of attacking prowess against City last time out, and so may come up short again here in terms of aiming for all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Arsenal have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points away from home. A draw and a Newcastle victory on home soil are separated by just 1.7%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mixed bag
Arsenal have won the last two H2Hs between the two sides, although both of those were not at St. James' Park. In fact, Newcastle have won the previous three meetings on their home patch, which suggests that it could be a difficult afternoon for the Gunners.
England Premier League 18/05/25
Arsenal
Newcastle
England EFL Cup 05/02/25
Newcastle
Arsenal
England EFL Cup 07/01/25
Arsenal
Newcastle
England Premier League 02/11/24
Newcastle
Arsenal
England Premier League 24/02/24
Arsenal
Newcastle
Newcastle preview: No fresh concerns
Newcastle have reported no fresh injury concerns ahead of this clash. Yoane Wissa, Jacob Murphy and Fabian Schar remain out injured though.
Predicted lineup: Pope (GK); Trippier, Botman, Burn, Livramento; Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton; Elanga, Woltemade & Gordon
Last five results:
- Newcastle 4-1 Bradford
- Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle
- Newcastle 1-2 Barcelona
- Newcastle 1-0 Wolves
- Leeds 0-0 Newcastle
Arsenal preview: Odegaard available?
Martin Odegaard is expected to train ahead of a potential return from injury. Arsenal will be without Piero Hincapie, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus though.
Predicted lineup: Raya (GK); Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Zubimendi, Odegaard, Rice; Saka, Gyokeres & Eze
Last five results:
- Port Vale 0-2 Arsenal
- Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City
- Athletic Club 0-2 Arsenal
- Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal
Player to watch: Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze will be pushing for a start after grabbing a crucial assist off the bench against City last weekend. He also scored his first Arsenal goal against Port Vale, and so has certainly put himself in contention.