Three points will be up for grabs as New Zealand and the United States clash at Orange Vélodrome this weekend. View our free New Zealand Olympic vs USA Olympic predictions below.
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New Zealand Olympic vs USA Olympic predictions: USA’s struggles to continue
Key stats
- USA suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat in their opening group game.
- While New Zealand won seven of their last eight games, the United States managed one win in their last eight matches.
- New Zealand's last seven games, and three of USA’s last four matches went above the 2.5-goal line.
- USA conceded first in four of their last five games, while New Zealand opened the scoring in seven of their last eight matches.
Correct score prediction: New Zealand 2-1 USA
New Zealand defeated Guinea earlier this week, despite being the overwhelming underdogs. They should be able to hold their own against an underperforming USA.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Americans are expected winners
- New Zealand: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
- Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- USA: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
In spite of their recent struggles, USA are the expected winners at 8/11 (1.73). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our New Zealand Olympic vs USA Olympic predictions.
Additionally, New Zealand's last seven matches featured at least three goals. On that note, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
New Zealand and USA at the Olympic Games
This is New Zealand's fourth appearance at the Olympic Games. Their best performance came in the previous edition of this tournament, where they were knocked out in the quarterfinals.
The United States' best outing at the Olympics was in 1904. They fielded two different teams at the 1904 Games, winning silver and bronze. This is the United States' 15th appearance in the past century, and they have progressed past the group stage in only two of those appearances. Their best result in the last 120 years was a fourth-place finish in 2000.
Team news and form guide
New Zealand: Eyeing their second consecutive quarter-final appearance
New Zealand can secure a place in the knockout stages with a victory this weekend. With a healthy group of players to choose from, Darren Bazeley will likely be confident of pulling off another upset.
Predicted lineup: Paulsen (GK), Sutton, Boxall, Surman, Bindon, Garbett, Bell, Herdman, Singh, Bayliss & Waine.
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
L
France Olympic
3
New Zealand Olympic
0
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
L
USA Olympic
4
New Zealand Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 24/07/24
W
Guinea Olympic
1
New Zealand Olympic
2
Olympics 2020 Soccer - Men 31/07/21
L
Japan Olympic
0 (4)
New Zealand Olympic
0 (2)
Olympics 2020 Soccer - Men 28/07/21
D
Romania Olympic
0
New Zealand Olympic
0
USA: Hoping to get back to winning ways
Like their opponents, there are no injured or suspended players for the United States ahead of this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Schulte (GK), Tolkin, Robinson, Zimmerman, Harriel, Mihajlovic, Tessmann, Busio, Aaronson, MCGuire & Paredes.
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 02/08/24
L
Morocco Olympic
4
USA Olympic
0
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
W
Guinea Olympic
0
USA Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
W
New Zealand Olympic
1
USA Olympic
4
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 24/07/24
L
France Olympic
3
USA Olympic
0
Player to watch: Ben Waine

Ben Waine scored the winning goal in New Zealand's opening group game. The Plymouth player has been in sensational form, scoring five times in his last four international assignments. As Darren Bazeley's men eye a place in the knockout stages, Waine will be called upon to provide the goals.