New York City go head-to-head with Chicago Fire at the Yankee Stadium in the MLS on Sunday, 25 May. Read our MLS predictions for the clash below.
Contents
- 1 New York City vs Chicago Fire prediction: Hosts can harness home field advantage again
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: New York City are clear favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Draws have been common
- 4 New York City preview: Three out for hosts
- 5 Chicago Fire preview: Four absentees for visitors
- 6 Player to watch – Alonso Martinez
New York City vs Chicago Fire prediction: Hosts can harness home field advantage again
Key Stats
- Each of New York City’s last seven games in the MLS have featured under 2.5 goals.
- Chicago Fire have failed to win six of their last eight matches in the MLS.
- BTTS – no has landed in each of New York City’s last seven league fixtures.
- Alonso Martinez is New York City’s leading scorer in the MLS this season with seven goals.
Correct score prediction: New York City 1-0 Chicago Fire
New York City have secured maximum points in three of their last four home games in the MLS and two of those wins finished 1-0 in their favour. Expect a similar outcome here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: New York City are clear favourites
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
New York City enjoyed a 2-0 win over neighbours and rivals NY Red Bulls last time out and the markets suggest they have a 51.3% chance of winning again on Sunday.
Chicago Fire are in the midst of a four-game winning streak in league and cup, though the 13/5 underdogs’ overall form in the MLS (two wins in eight) has been underwhelming. View our free football tips page for more MLS predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Draws have been common
Three of the last four meetings between New York City and Chicago Fire have finished level.
USA MLS 25/08/24
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
USA MLS 14/07/24
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
USA MLS 21/10/23
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
USA MLS 05/03/23
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
USA MLS 21/08/22
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
New York City preview: Three out for hosts
Keaton Parks, Kevin O'Toole, and Malachi Jones are all out injured for City. The hosts are in seventh place in the Eastern Conference but can jump to fourth with the right set of MLS results this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Freese (GK), Gray, Martins, Haak, Risa, O'Neill, Perea, Fernandez, Moralez, Wolf, Martinez
USA MLS 10/05/25
L
CF Montreal
1
New York City FC
0
USA US Open Cup 07/05/25
L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1
New York City FC
0
USA MLS 04/05/25
W
FC Cincinnati
0
New York City FC
1
USA MLS 26/04/25
W
Toronto FC
0
New York City FC
1
USA MLS 19/04/25
L
New England Revolution
2
New York City FC
0
Chicago Fire preview: Four absentees for visitors
Chicago Fire could be without the services of Leonardo Barroso, Chase Gasper, Carlos Teran and David Poreba on Sunday. Fire powered to a 3-1 win at New England in the US Open Cup in midweek. Chicago are two places behind New York City in the Eastern Conference.
Predicted lineup: Brady (GK), Dean, Rogers, Elliott, Gutman, Oregel, Pineda, Gutierrez, Zinckernagel, Bamba, Cuypers
USA MLS 10/05/25
W
Atlanta United
1
Chicago Fire
2
USA US Open Cup 08/05/25
W
Detroit City FC
0
Chicago Fire
4
USA MLS 04/05/25
D
Orlando City SC
0
Chicago Fire
0
USA MLS 27/04/25
L
Nashville SC
7
Chicago Fire
2
USA MLS 20/04/25
L
FC Cincinnati
3
Chicago Fire
2
Player to watch – Alonso Martinez
Alonso Martinez scored his seventh MLS goal of the campaign in New York City’s 2-0 win over rivals NY Red Bulls last weekend and the clinical Costa Rican could be a threat again on Sunday.
Martinez is a menace
Martinez bagged an impressive 17 goals for City last season and the 26-year-old is already well on his way to matching that haul in 2025. The striker has been scoring at a rate of one goal every 163.8 minutes for his club since the star of the new MLS campaign.