The Netherlands know that they must beat France in their final game of Group D in the UEFA Women's European Championships on Sunday night if they are to have any chance of progressing to the knockout stages.
Indeed, after losing to the holders England 4-0 last time out, the Dutch are stuck on three points after beating Wales 3-0 in their opening match.
France have achieved maximum points from their opening two matches, after impressively beating England 2-1 before demolishing Wales 4-1. They are in no real danger of not reaching the knockout stage, although a defeat to the Netherlands, combined with an expected England win against Wales, could potentially see them lose out on goal difference.
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Netherlands Women vs France Women prediction: Les Bleues to knock Dutch out?
Key stats
- Netherlands have kept just one clean sheet in 10 games in all competitions.
- France have won 10 matches in a row across all competitions.
- A total of 19 goals have been scored across the last five H2Hs at an average of almost four per game.
Correct score prediction: Netherlands Women 1-3 France Women
Given their far superior form in recent matches, and the fact that the Netherlands come into this clash off the back of a 4-0 drubbing by England last time out, France should be firm favourites to claim what would be yet another three points in the tournament. However, Les Bleues have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three games, offering the Dutch some hope of at least getting on the scoresheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: France firm favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, France are huge favourites to claim all three points, which would see them sail safely through into the knockout stages. A draw is rated just above a Netherlands victory in terms of the next likeliest outcome.
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Most recent H2Hs: France aiming to extend three-game unbeaten run
France are unbeaten over the previous three H2Hs, winning two of them, which bodes them well in terms of getting the positive result that they need in order to progress safely through into the knockouts. Incidentally, both teams have scored in each of those meetings, so we could also see a potential goal-fest on the cards.
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Netherlands Women
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France Women
Netherlands Women
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France Women
Netherlands Women
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France Women
Netherlands Women
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Netherlands Women
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Netherlands Women preview: Tempted to make changes?
Netherlands could be tempted to make a number of changes to the starting XI that lost 4-0 to England last time out. Among the names that could be called into the lineup from the bench are Danielle van de Donk, Sherida Spitse and Lineth Beerensteyn.
Predicted lineup: Van Domselaar (GK); Casparij, Janssen, Spitse, Brugts; Groenen, Van de Donk, Kaptein; Pelova, Beerensteyn & Miedema
UEFA Women's Nations League 08/04/25
W
Austria Women
1
Netherlands Women
3
UEFA Women's Nations League 04/04/25
W
Austria Women
1
Netherlands Women
3
UEFA Women's Nations League 25/02/25
W
Scotland Women
1
Netherlands Women
2
UEFA Women's Nations League 21/02/25
D
Germany Women
2
Netherlands Women
2
Womenu2019s International 03/12/24
L
USA Women
2
Netherlands Women
1
France Women preview: Rotation back to strongest XI?
France made a number of changes to their starting XI in their 4-1 win against Wales last time out. The likes of Sakina Karchaoui and Sandy Baltimore should return to the starting lineup.
Predicted lineup: Peyraud-Magnin (GK); N'Dongala, Lakrar, Sombath, Bacha; Karchoui, Jean-Francois, Geyoro; Baltimore, Diani & Katoto
UEFA Women's Nations League 08/04/25
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Norway Women
0
France Women
2
UEFA Women's Nations League 04/04/25
W
Switzerland Women
0
France Women
2
UEFA Women's Nations League 25/02/25
W
Iceland Women
2
France Women
3
UEFA Women's Nations League 21/02/25
W
Norway Women
0
France Women
1
Womenu2019s International 03/12/24
L
Spain Women
4
France Women
2
Player to watch: Grace Geyoro
Grace Geyoro is a key player for France in the middle of the park. She followed up an impressive performance against England with a goal against Wales last time out.
That represented Geyoro's fifth goal in her last six internationals, showing that she has contributed heavily to Les Bleues' continuous winning streak. Nonetheless, Netherlands will have to defend well against her and hope that she does not dictate the play in midfield.