Netherlands vs Poland prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/09/2025
Netherlands are favourites with bookmakers - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Netherlands to win to nil

Netherlands have won to nil in both their qualifiers.

The Netherlands will welcome Poland to the De Kuip Stadium in their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying clash on Thursday night. They have picked up maximum points in the qualifying group so far, winning both of their opening two games without even conceding a goal.

Meanwhile, Poland are one place below them in third, having also played an extra match. The Poles have won two of their first three matches so far, picking up a total of six points.

Netherlands vs Poland prediction: Dutch should seal victory

Key stats

  • The Netherlands have scored two or more goals in each of their last five games in total in all competitions.
  • Three of Poland's last four matches have not seen both teams score.
  • Netherlands are unbeaten in the previous 13 H2Hs across all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Netherlands 2-0 Poland

The Netherlands should be favourites to take home all three points on home soil. We are also backing them to keep a clean sheet, as they have done so in their previous two qualifiers.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Netherlands installed as favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
  • DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, the Netherlands have been installed as the heavy favourites to take all three points on home soil. A draw is rated at just under 17%, while Poland can be backed at just 10% to emerge victorious away from home.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.

Most recent H2Hs: Netherlands never really beaten…

As mentioned before, the Netherlands are unbeaten in the last 13 meetings in total in all competitions. They have also won the previous two H2Hs, with the latest a 2-1 victory away from home in June 2024.

Euro 2024 16/06/24

Poland

Poland

1
Netherlands

Netherlands

2

UEFA Nations League A 22/09/22

Poland

Poland

0
Netherlands

Netherlands

2

UEFA Nations League 11/06/22

Netherlands

Netherlands

2
Poland

Poland

2

UEFA Nations League 18/11/20

Poland

Poland

1
Netherlands

Netherlands

2

UEFA Nations League 04/09/20

Netherlands

Netherlands

1
Poland

Poland

0

Netherlands preview: Frimpong only major injury

The Netherlands' only major injury in the squad is that of Jeremie Frimpong, after the right-back got injured while playing for his new club team Liverpool. Otherwise, the hosts should be able to name a strong starting XI.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK); Dumfries, Van Dijk, Van Hecke, Van de Ven; De Jong, Gravenberch, Reijnders; Simons, Depay & Gakpo

Last five results:

  • Netherlands 8-0 Malta
  • Finland 0-2 Netherlands
  • Spain 3-3 Netherlands (5-4 pens)
  • Netherlands 2-2 Spain
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 Netherlands

Poland preview: Will Lewandowski start?

Despite lacking a lot of match fitness after nursing a bad injury while at his club team Barcelona, captain and record goalscorer Robert Lewandowski is still likely to start for Poland. In fact, the visitors should be able to name a strong starting XI overall here.

Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK); Bednarek, Kedziora, Kiwior; Cash, Zielinski, Szymanski, Slisz, Zalewski; Lewandowski & Piatek

Last five results:

  • Finland 2-1 Poland
  • Poland 2-0 Moldova
  • Poland 2-0 Malta
  • Poland 1-0 Lithuania
  • Poland 1-2 Scotland

Player to watch: Memphis Depay

Memphis Depay
Memphis Depay has the chance to become the Netherlands' all-time top goalscorer – Photo by Icon Sport

Memphis Depay is currently on 50 goals for the Netherlands, and just one more would see him break Robin Van Persie's all-time top goalscorer record for his country. The forward will be very determined to do so at home to Poland.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.