All eyes will be on Johan Cruijff Arena as Netherlands host Lithuania in the final round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers on Monday, 17 November 2025.
View our free Netherlands vs Lithuania predictions below.
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Netherlands vs Lithuania predictions: Goals expected to flow
Key stats
- At least four goals were scored in three of Netherlands’ last four matches.
- The reverse fixture of this clash was a five-goal thriller.
- Lithuania have no wins in their last 16 games across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Netherlands 4-1 Lithuania
These teams are on opposite sides when it comes to recent form. While Netherlands are unbeaten in regulation time in 11 consecutive matches across all competitions, Lithuania are currently on a 16-game winless streak.
Keeping in mind that Netherlands have five wins in seven FIFA World Cup qualifying games, we are confident that the Dutch will secure another comfortable victory here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Netherlands are odds-on favourites
- HOME: 1/25 (1.04) – 96.2%
- DRAW: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.3%
- AWAY: 33/1 (34.00) – 2.9%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is important to note that Netherlands have almost certainly secured an automatic spot in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Ronaldo Koeman’s troops will be guaranteed the top spot in Group G if they earn at least one point from this match.
However, should they lose, Poland would still need to defeat Malta by a double-digit margin before they could overtake Netherlands.
On the other hand, Lithuania are the only winless team in Group G and will most likely finish last. Edgaras Jankauskas’ men put up a valiant effort in the reverse fixture, however, scoring twice in a 3-2 defeat.
Ahead of this encounter, it is unsurprising that Netherlands are the expected winners at 1/25 (1.04). Teams with these odds usually have a 96.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Netherlands vs Lithuania predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that the only other encounter between these sides was a five-goal thriller, over 4.5 total goals has an appealing look at 13/10 (2.30). That one has a 43.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Netherlands to complete the sweep?
Although Netherlands were victorious in the only other encounter between these teams, Lithuania put up a hard fight, narrowly losing 3-2 at home.
Netherlands preview: No new absentees
By securing the 1-1 draw in Poland last time out, Netherlands all but secured their ticket to next year's FIFA World Cup. With just this clash against Lithuania left, Oranje are three points ahead of Poland, while also boasting a superior goal difference of +19 over Poland's +6.
Right-back Denzel Dumfries sustained an injury in the team's training camp and was unavailable last Friday, and he's expected to also miss this one. In Dumfries’ absence, Sunderland's Lutsharel Geertruida is set to start in back-to-back games for the national team, a first since March.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Geertruida, Timber, Van Dijk, Van de Ven, Gravenberch, De Jong, Malen, Kluivert, Gakpo & Depay.
Last five matches
- Poland 1-1 Netherlands
- Netherlands 4-0 Finland
- Malta 0-4 Netherlands
- Lithuania 2-3 Netherlands
- Netherlands 1-1 Poland
Lithuania preview: Hoping to bow out with a win
With nothing to play for, head coach Jankauskas is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack from Thursday's goalless draw against Israel, but his troops can look forward to a thrilling contest like the reverse fixture.
Predicted lineup: Svedkauskas (GK); Sirvys, Armalas, Tutyskinas, Utkus, Lasickas, Kalinauskas, Gineitis, Sirgedas, Cernych & Golubickas.
Last five matches
- Lithuania 0-0 Israel
- Lithuania 0-2 Poland
- Finland 2-1 Lithuania
- Lithuania 2-3 Netherlands
- Lithuania 1-1 Malta
Player to watch: Memphis Depay
At the time of publishing, only one player has scored more goals than Memphis Depay in Europe's 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers. The Corinthians forward has 13 goal contributions in seven qualifying games and will fancy his chances against Lithuania after scoring a brace in the reverse fixture.