Real Madrid vs Napoli prediction, odds & betting tips 29/11/2023

Real Madrid
29/11/23 - 20:00

Finished

4

-

2

Napoli

Real Madrid - Napoli

UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu

5th Round

 

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Real Madrid welcome Napoli to the Bernabeu on Wednesday 29th of November in what will be Real Madrid's final group game of the season at home. Los Blancos have already secured safe passage through to the knockout stages of the competition and need just a point here to go through as group winners. Napoli, meanwhile, know that a win would secure qualification for them. Ahead of the match, here are some free football betting tips to check out.

Real Madrid vs Napoli prediction & free betting tips

Real Madrid have stepped up a gear from last season and look like legitimate Champions League contenders once again. Napoli, on the other hand, have gone backwards after their Serie A triumph so this should be a comfortable game for the home side.

Real Madrid to win

  • Real Madrid are unbeaten in eleven matches in all competitions.
  • Napoli have only won one of their last three matches.
  • Real Madrid beat Napoli in the reverse fixture.

Over 2.5 goals

  • Real Madrid have scored eleven goals in their last three games.
  • Napoli have scored seven goals in their last four games.
  • The previous encounter between the two sides finished 3-2 to Real Madrid.

For more tips, visit our Champions League betting predictions page 

Real Madrid vs Napoli odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Head to Head

03/10/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

Napoli

Napoli

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

3

07/03/17

UEFA Champions League UCL

Napoli

Napoli

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3

15/02/17

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Napoli

Napoli

3

1

Last Five - Real Madrid

11/05/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

3

L

04/05/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

3

W

26/04/25

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Barcelona

Barcelona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

2

L

23/04/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Getafe

Getafe

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

20/04/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

Last Five - Napoli

11/05/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Genoa

Genoa

Napoli

Napoli

2

2

D

03/05/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Lecce

Lecce

Napoli

Napoli

0

1

W

27/04/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Torino

Torino

Napoli

Napoli

0

2

W

19/04/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Monza

Monza

Napoli

Napoli

0

1

W

14/04/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Empoli

Empoli

Napoli

Napoli

0

3

W

Real Madrid odds: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

Draw odds: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

Napoli odds: 10/3 (4.33)  – 23.1%

Real Madrid are the favourites for this one but the bookmakers clearly think that Napoli will pose a reasonable threat. They have stated that the win probability for Real Madrid is 54.1% while it's 23.1% for Napoli. A draw, which wouldn't be a bad result for either side, has a probability of 25.6%.

Real Madrid vs Napoli lineups and latest team news

Real Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti, in what looks set to be his final season as Real Madrid boss, has adopted a new system this year which has been working wonders for his team. The system allows Jude Bellingham to operate in a free role behind the two strikers and to say he is thriving would be an understatement.

Ancelotti does have several injuries at the minute though which may make him rethink the system. Eduardo Camavinga and Aurélien Tchouaméni are both missing in midfield while star man, Vinicius Jr has pulled his hamstring.

Predicted lineup

Kepa – Carvajal, Alaba, Rudiger, Mendy – Modric, Kroos, Valverde , Bellingham – Joselu, Rodrygo

Napoli

Napoli boss, Walter Mazzarri, oversaw his first game as manager at the weekend with his side running out 2-1 winners against Atalanta. It wasn't all good news for Mazzarri though as full-back Mathias Olivera was forced off with an injury. The Uruguayan joins Jesper Lindstrom and Mario Rui on the treatment table.

One huge boost for Napoli is the return to fitness of striker, Victor Osimhen, who came off the bench at the weekend against Atalana. He will lead the line for the Italian side and will look to re-engage his stunning partnership with Kvaratskhelia.

Predicted lineup

Meret – Jesus, Østigård, Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo – Zielinski, Lobotka, Anguissa – Kvaratskhelia, Osimhen, Politano

Starting lineups

The starting lineups will be announced an hour before kick off.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid
4-2-2-2
13
Andriy Lunin
ua
2
Dani Carvajal
es
22
Antonio Rudiger
de
4
David Alaba
at
23
Ferland Mendy
fr
8
Federico Valverde
uy
8
Toni Kroos
de
19
Dani Ceballos
es
5
Jude Bellingham
gb
21
Brahim Diaz
ma
11
Rodrygo
br
Substitutes
38
Theo Zidane
fr
33
Gonzalo Garcia Torres
es
32
Nico Paz
ar
28
Mario Martin
es
26
Fran Gonzalez
es
31
Lucas Canizares
es
20
Francisco Garcia
es
17
Lucas Vazquez
es
14
Mato Joselu
es
6
Nacho
es

Napoli

Napoli
4-3-3
1
Alex Meret
it
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
it
13
Amir Rrahmani
xk
3
Natan
br
5
Juan Jesus
br
99
Frank Anguissa
cm
68
Stanislav Lobotka
sk
20
Piotr Zielinski
pl
21
Matteo Politano
it
18
Giovanni Simeone
ar
77
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
ge
Substitutes
59
Alessandro Zanoli
it
81
Giacomo Raspadori
it
24
Jens-Lys Cajuste
se
70
Gianluca Gaetano
it
9
Victor Osimhen
ng
95
Pierluigi Gollini
it
55
Leo Ostigard
no
7
Eljif Elmas
mk
14
Nikita Contini
it
23
Alessio Zerbin
it

Player to watch: Jude Bellingham

We are running out of words to describe just how impressive Jude Bellingham has been in a Real Madrid shirt this season and the number five will be Los Blancos' main man on Wednesday. Bellingham recently picked up the Golden Boy award and his goal at the weekend meant he is the quickest player to reach 15 goals in Real Madrid's history.

Real Madrid vs Napoli prediction

champions league predictions