Parma will take on Napoli on Sunday, 18 May, in a huge match on the penultimate weekend of Serie A fixtures this season.
The hosts come into the match four points clear of the relegation zone, so they know that a win in their final home match of the season would guarantee survival.
Napoli, meanwhile, are top of the league by one point and know that anything other than a win would open the door for Inter Milan.
As part of our latest round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Parma vs Napoli prediction below.
Contents
Key Stats
- Parma have drawn six of their last nine Serie A matches.
- Napoli have drawn 50% of their last 14 Serie A matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Napoli's last four matches.
Correct score prediction: Parma 1-1 Napoli
Parma have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, and they would be over the moon with another one this weekend. Napoli looked nervy last week in their 2-2 draw with Genoa, and this isn't an easy place to go, especially when you need a win.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Napoli odds-on favourites
- HOME: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Parma vs Napoli odds indicate that this should actually be a straightforward night for the visitors, but this feels out of place given Parma's recent run of draws. Ladbrokes have given Napoli a 66.7% chance of winning the match, while Parma have been given an 18.2% chance of victory.
Read more of our top Italian predictions on our football tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Only the second encounter since 2021
This has been Parma's first season back in the top flight for four years, which means this is only the second time these two teams have played each other in that time frame. In the reverse fixture earlier in the season, Napoli won 2-1, but Parma have won two of the last five H2Hs.
Italy Serie A 31/08/24
Napoli
Parma
Italy Serie A 31/01/21
Napoli
Parma
Italy Serie A 20/09/20
Parma
Napoli
Italy Serie A 22/07/20
Parma
Napoli
Italy Serie A 14/12/19
Napoli
Parma
Parma preview: A long list of missing players
Parma's hopes of winning on Sunday aren't helped by a long list of absentees. Nahuel Estevez and Adrian Bernabe have a chance of making the bench, but Yordan Osorio, Gabriel Charpentier, Alessandro Vogliacco and Valentin Mihaila are all definitely out injured. Lautaro Valentini will also miss out due to suspension.
Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Del Prato, Leoni, Balogh, Hainaut, Keita, Hernani, Sohm, Valeri, Pellegrino, Bonny
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
L
Empoli
2
Parma
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Como
1
Parma
0
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Lazio
2
Parma
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Juventus
0
Parma
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Fiorentina
0
Parma
0
Napoli preview: Conte's risks backfire on him
Antonio Conte has been throwing in half-fit players into the starting XI in recent weeks, most notably Stanislav Lobotka and Alessandro Buongiorno. Those decisions haven't paid off as both men have now been ruled out of this match – their final potential banana skin of the season. Juan Jesus is also unavailable for selection.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Olivera, Spinazzola, Anguissa, Politano, Gilmour, McTominay, Lukaku, Raspadori
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Genoa
2
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W
Lecce
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Torino
0
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Monza
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 14/04/25
W
Empoli
0
Napoli
3
Player to watch: Billy Gilmour
With Stanislav Lobotka ruled out of this one due to injury, there is huge pressure on Billy Gilmour to come in and replace the talented Slovakian. Gilmour hasn't been able to nail down a starting position at Napoli since signing for the club last summer, and the jury is still out in Italy with respect to whether he will make the grade. Can he put those doubts to bed over these final two matches?