Napoli will host Parma at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona this Wednesday as Antonio Conte’s side looks to get back to winning ways after a halt in their winning streak.
Napoli managed a 2-2 draw with Serie A leaders Inter Milan, coming from behind twice to secure a point. This result continued a streak of six consecutive matches in all competitions where they scored exactly two goals.
Despite the dismissal of Antonio Conte in the second half, the team stayed composed and extended their unbeaten league run to four games. Their home form has been particularly strong, remaining undefeated at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona since December 2024.
Parma bounced back impressively against Lecce, overturning an early deficit to win 2-1. The Crusaders have claimed four victories in their last eight league games, moving further away from relegation worries.
They have also been solid on the road this season, picking up over half of their points away from home and remaining unbeaten in their last four away league fixtures.
Read our Napoli vs Parma predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
Contents
Napoli vs Parma prediction: Home team to get a win
Key statistics
- First-half draws have been played twice in their last five meetings.
- Napoli have won three of their last five encounters against Parma.
- Four of their last five meetings had over 1.5 goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-0 Parma
We believe Napoli will respond well and put in a strong, controlled display at home. Our prediction is a 2–0 win, with the host keeping a clean sheet and getting back on track after their recent setback.
Napoli have generally been solid in the league, most especially at the Diego Maradona Stadium. This should give them confidence and their attacking quality should eventually break down a struggling Parma side.
With the title race still very tight and pressure coming from Inter and AC Milan, Napoli are expected to take control of the game, dominate possession and do enough in attack to secure a comfortable home victory.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Napoli are clear favourites
- Home: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
- Draw: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- Away: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers strongly favour Napoli at home, pricing them at 1.35, which implies a dominant 74.1% chance of victory. Parma are clear outsiders at 9.00 (11.1%), reflecting the scale of the challenge they face at the Maradona.
The draw is available at 4.80 (20.8%), suggesting Napoli are expected to control the game but still need to be disciplined to avoid slipping up, as they keep pushing to defend their league title.
Most recent head-to-head: Napoli dominate record
Across these last five fixtures, Napoli has recorded three wins, while Parma has claimed one victory and there has only been one draw in this recent period. This record demonstrates that while Parma can be a bogey team for the Serie A title holders, the Partenopei have generally had the upper hand since 2020.
Their previous encounter, which was played last season, ended in a 2-1 win for Napoli in the first leg in 2024 and the return leg in 2025 ended in a 0-0 draw. The last time Parma defeated Napoli was a 2-1 win in 2020.
Italy Serie A 21/12/25
Napoli
Parma
Italy Serie A 18/05/25
Parma
Napoli
Italy Serie A 31/08/24
Napoli
Parma
Italy Serie A 31/01/21
Napoli
Parma
Italy Serie A 20/09/20
Parma
Napoli
After reviewing our key Napoli vs Parma predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Napoli face this fixture without several important squad members. Juan Jesus and Antonio Conte are suspended, while Billy Gilmour, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, David Neres and Romelu Lukaku are all sidelined through injury.
Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Politano, Lobotka, McTominay, Gutierrez, Elmas, Lang & Hojlund
Last five fixtures
- 11.01.26 – Inter 2–2 Napoli
- 07.01.26 – Napoli 2–2 Verona
- 04.01.26 – Lazio 0–2 Napoli
- 28.12.25 – Cremonese 0–2 Napoli
- 22.12.25 – Napoli 2–0 Bologna
Parma preview: Injury concerns limit squad
Parma will be without Zion Suzuki, Abdoulaye N'Diaye and Matija Frigan due to injury. The trio’s absence affects both defensive and attacking areas, meaning the manager will need to adjust his lineup and tactics to maintain the team’s recent positive form away from home.
Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Del Prato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Oristanio, Pellegrino, Ondrejka
Last five fixtures
- 11.01.26 – Inter 2–2 Napoli
- 07.01.26 – Napoli 2–2 Verona
- 04.01.26 – Lazio 0–2 Napoli
- 28.12.25 – Cremonese 0–2 Napoli
- 22.12.25 – Napoli 2–0 Bologna
Player to watch: Rasmus Hojlund
Rasmus Hojlund has been Napoli’s most consistent player this season and he is currently their top scorer in the league. The striker has scored six goals and provided two assists, with his presence in attack giving the team a scoring chance.
His ability on the ball and finding space in the final third make him the primary threat for the visitors to contain. Should the host manage to find the back of the net, he will be involved in providing the finishing touch himself.