Monza vs Napoli prediction, odds & betting tips 19/04/2025
Image from Imago
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Napoli win to nil

Monza have won just one of their last 20 home matches in Serie A, while Napoli have kept clean sheets in seven of their eight matches against clubs currently in the bottom six this season.

Title-chasing Napoli travel north to face bottom-of-the-table Monza in a must-win game for both teams this Saturday in Serie A. View our free Monza vs Napoli predictions below.

Monza vs Napoli predictions: Partenopei to keep the pressure on Inter

Key stats

  • At least one team failed to score in four of the last five meetings between Napoli and Monza.
  • Monza are currently on a 12-game winless run in Serie A, falling to defeat in 10 of those matches.
  • Napoli have averaged 1.9 points-per-game away from home in Serie A this season.
  • The points difference between the two sides ahead of kickoff stands at 53, after 32 matches of the season.

Correct score prediction: Monza 0-2 Napoli

Napoli are very efficient and rarely blow teams away in front of goal, but their impressive defensive record against clubs near the bottom should do the job for them at Brianteo.

It has been a season to forget for Monza, whose three-year stay in Serie A is set to come to an end, following just two wins all season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage not expected to benefit Monza

  • HOME: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
  • DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
  • AWAY: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Monza are a whopping 11 points from safety and are destined for relegation, so there is little down for them against title-chasing opposition here, and the odds reflect that.

The bookies are not expecting many goals in this one either, with under 3.5 goals being priced at 4/11.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Monza vs Napoli predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Napoli looking to complete a league double

Napoli have enjoyed success against Monza since the Biancorossi earned promotion in 2022, registering a 4-0 victory in the first meeting and a 2-0 win in the most recent encounter.

However, while the Partenopei won 4-2 at Brianteo last season, they did suffer a 2-0 defeat here during Monza’s debut top-flight campaign, back in May 2023.

Italy Serie A 29/09/24

Napoli

Napoli

2
Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 07/04/24

Monza

Monza

2
Napoli

Napoli

4

Italy Serie A 29/12/23

Napoli

Napoli

0
Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 14/05/23

Monza

Monza

2
Napoli

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 21/08/22

Napoli

Napoli

4
Monza

Monza

0

Monza preview: Serie B awaits the Biancorossi

With only 18 points left to play for, Monza could be relegated as early as next weekend, with their top-flight status only remaining intact due to the inability of those above them to pick up points as well.

Georgios Kyriakopoulos will return from suspension this weekend, but defenders Armando Izzo and Danilo D’Ambrosio are out, along with former Italy international Matteo Pessina, while Keita Balde also picked up an injury last weekend.

Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), Carboni, Izzo, Pereira, Birindelli, Urbanski, Akpa Akpro, Ciurria, Kyriakopoulos, Mota & Caprari.

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

W

Udinese

Udinese

1

Monza

Monza

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

4

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

1

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Venezia

Venezia

1

Monza

Monza

0

Napoli preview: Taking the title race down to the wire

All of Napoli’s remaining six matches in Serie A will be against clubs in the bottom half, and they start the weekend three points behind Inter Milan at the summit, with the Nerazzurri also dealing with Champions League distractions recently.

Captain Giovanni Di Lorenzo and midfielder Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa are both back from suspension, but central defender Alessandro Buongiorno remains sidelined with a groin injury.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Olivera, Zambo Anguissa, Lobotka, Gilmour, McTominay, Politano & Lukaku.

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Genoa

Genoa

2

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Torino

Torino

0

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Napoli

Napoli

3

Player to watch: Romelu Lukaku

As the only player in Serie A to have hit double figures for both goals (12) and assists (10), Lukaku continued his fine season in the home win over Empoli on Monday.

Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction
Romelu Lukaku has returned to form of late for Napoli – Photo by Imago

The Belgian striker showed great strength and skill to set up Scott McTominay for the opener, before then scoring himself, and Lukaku was on hand to set up the Scotland international for the third goal too, which put the game beyond doubt.


Andrew graduated with a First Class Honours degree in Sports Journalism from UCFB in Manchester in 2022, and continues to live his dream of writing and reporting on sport. As well as football, Andrew closely follows Golf, Tennis and Athletics, and believes the Olympics is the world's greatest event.