In this article, we have given our Lecce vs Napoli prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Serie A clash on Saturday evening. The visitors are three points clear at the top of the table at the time of writing, and will be hoping to see out the season's final stretch and win their second Scudetto title in three campaigns.
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Lecce vs Napoli prediction: No problem for league leaders?
Key stats
- Lecce are winless in 11 games, and have not won at home since December.
- Napoli have won their last three matches to nil.
- Napoli are unbeaten in five H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Lecce 0-2 Napoli
Lecce have scored the fewest goals in Serie A (24) this season, while Napoli have conceded the fewest (25). Given both teams' respective forms and league positions too, we are expecting a fairly routine away victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Napoli big favourites
- HOME: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5 %
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Unsurprisingly, Napoli are big favourites to win this one, while a draw is given about a 25% chance. Lecce are huge underdogs despite being at home.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Lecce vs Napoli predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Napoli on unbeaten run
Napoli are unbeaten in the previous five meetings, winning 1-0 in the reverse fixture. Only 10 goals have been scored across those games at an average of two per match, which suggests this clash could end low-scoring.
Italy Serie A 26/10/24
Napoli
Lecce
Italy Serie A 26/05/24
Napoli
Lecce
Italy Serie A 30/09/23
Lecce
Napoli
Italy Serie A 07/04/23
Lecce
Napoli
Italy Serie A 31/08/22
Napoli
Lecce
Lecce preview: Krstovic return brings some hope
Lecce will welcome top scorer Nikola Krstovic from suspension, while Medon Berisha will also make his return. The hosts have no fresh injury concerns.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Gaspar, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Pierotti, Helgason, Karlsson & Krstovic
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Verona
1
Lecce
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Napoli
1
Lecce
0
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D
Atalanta
1
Lecce
1
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L
Como
3
Lecce
0
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Juventus
2
Lecce
1
Napoli preview: Defensive injuries creeping up
Alessandro Buongiorno got injured for Napoli against Torino last time out, which may see him not only miss this match, but the rest of the season. Juan Jesus is also injured, leaving the visitors short of centre-back options.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Marin, Olivera, Anguissa, Lobotka, Politano, McTominay, Spinazzola & Lukaku
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Genoa
2
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W
Lecce
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Torino
0
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Monza
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 14/04/25
W
Empoli
0
Napoli
3
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay has scored five goals in Napoli's last three Serie A games, helping them climb to the top of the table. He is on 11 for the season now, and just one more would see him equal Marek Hamsik's record of 12 for a Napoli midfielder in one season.
McTominay also grabbed a crucial assist in Napoli's 1-0 win over Lecce earlier this season, showing just how much he can contribute in all areas. The Scotsman will fancy himself to make an impact again given his recent form.