napoli vs inter milan prediction
Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Inter Milan to win

Napoli have failed to win each of their last four Serie A matches.

Serie A's current top two teams go head-to-head on Saturday, 1 March in what should be a tight and tense 90 minutes in Naples.

Napoli have led the title race for the majority of the season but saw Inter Milan leapfrog them last weekend when their loss at Como was trumped by Inter's win over Genoa.

Inter Milan have had to bide their time throughout the campaign but the champions now find themselves in a brilliant spot with just 12 games to go. A win here could well and truly bury Napoli.

As part of this weekend's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Napoli vs Inter Milan prediction below.

Napoli vs Inter Milan prediction: Inter to pick up a huge three points

Key Stats

  • Inter Milan have won three of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches against Napoli.
  • Both teams have scored in each of Napoli's last six Serie A matches.

Correct score prediction: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan

Neither side has been performing at their best in recent weeks, which has allowed Atalanta to re-enter the title race, but it's Napoli's form that is the most concerning. The wheels appear to be coming off in Naples, as they so often do when Antonio Conte is involved, and the well-oiled Inter machine are smart enough to capitalise on that.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Too close to call

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Napoli vs Inter Milan odds do a good job of illustrating just how close this match is expected to be with the bookies leaving all three outcomes on the table. Ladbrokes consider Inter to be the narrow favourites but even then, they have only given them a 42.1% chance of victory. Meanwhile, Napoli have been given a 32.3% chance of winning the match.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Inter

Sunday's visitors are unbeaten in their last four matches against Napoli (two wins and two draws) which should fill them with confidence ahead of Saturday. Napoli's last win over Inter Milan was in May 2023 – the month Napoli won the Scudetto.

Italy Serie A 10/11/24

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1
Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 17/03/24

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1
Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Super Cup 22/01/24

Napoli

Napoli

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Italy Serie A 03/12/23

Napoli

Napoli

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Italy Serie A 21/05/23

Napoli

Napoli

3
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Napoli preview: Trouble in paradise?

Alarm bells started to ring at the beginning of February when Antonio Conte spoke out about his disappointment at the club's business during the January transfer windows and those concerns appear to have been justified. Napoli haven't won a match since the transfer deadline and their decision not to replace Khvicha Kvaratskhelia looks like a huge mistake.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Politano, Lobotka, Billing, McTominay, Spinazzola, Raspadori, Lukaku

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Napoli

Napoli

3

Italy Serie A 07/04/25

D

Bologna

Bologna

1

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

0

Napoli

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 09/03/25

W

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Napoli

Napoli

2

Inter Milan preview: A chance to turn the screw

The champions haven't looked as formidable this season as they did last but have the chance to move four points clear of Napoli with a win on Saturday evening. Their know-how and championship instincts could prove pivotal against a hot-headed team.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni, Dumfries, Calhanoglu, Barella, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Thuram, Martinez

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

UEFA Champions League 08/04/25

W

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

2

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Coppa Italia 02/04/25

D

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

Udinese

Udinese

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Player to watch: Romelu Lukaku

Romelu Lukaku
Photo by Imago

Romelu Lukaku once donned the famous black and blue stripes at Inter Milan but he is now out to down his former teammates and manager in the laser blue of Napoli. The Belgian is now passed his best but is still a force to be reckoned with on his day. He has scored nine league goals so far this season – can he bring up the magic ten this weekend?


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.