Inter Milan vs Napoli prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/03/2024

Inter Milan
17/03/24 - 19:45

Finished

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Napoli

Inter Milan - Napoli

Italy Serie A - Giuseppe Meazza

inter vs napoli predictions
Inter beat Napoli in the Italian Super Cup Final earlier this year – Photo by Icon Sport

The defending champions and champions elect meet in Serie A on Sunday at San Siro. Our Inter Milan vs Napoli prediction considers whether the hosts can continue an incredible winning streak in league action.

Inter Milan vs Napoli prediction: Hosts to win with Martinez on target again

Inter Milan vs Napoli predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Over 1.5 Home Team Goals

⚽ Correct score prediction

Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli

⚽ PLAYER to score anytime

Lautaro Martinez to score anytime

Key Stats

  • Our Inter Milan vs Napoli betting tips can’t see past Inter who are on a 10 game winning streak in Serie A.
  • Both teams have scored in all of Napoli’s last five league fixtures.
  • Inter have gone more than five months without dropping points at home in Serie A since a 2-2 draw with Bologna in early October.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the clear favourites

  • HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The home team are the clear favourites according to the Inter Milan vs Napoli odds with an implied probability of 62.5% that they win, although the visitors have improved a bit since appointing Francesco Calzona.

Both sides crashed out of the Champions League in Spain this week with Napoli losing 3-1 at Barcelona while Inter were beaten on penalties by Atletico Madrid. Inter were 1-0 winners at Bologna in their last league game while Napoli drew 1-1 at home to Torino.

For more football picks, today’s best betting tips guide you through a range of other markets. 

Last five H2Hs: Inter targeting third straight win over Napoli

Italy Super Cup 22/01/24

Napoli

Napoli

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Italy Serie A 03/12/23

Napoli

Napoli

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Italy Serie A 21/05/23

Napoli

Napoli

3
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Italy Serie A 04/01/23

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1
Napoli

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 12/02/22

Napoli

Napoli

1
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Our Inter Milan vs Napoli prediction points towards a repeat of the last two meetings which have both ended in Inter wins. The last five league meetings at San Siro have also all been won by Inter.

Inter Milan Preview: Unstoppable in Serie A

Inter are destined to win Serie A thanks to their blistering domestic form but they’ll have to cope without injured duo Marko Arnautovic and Carlos Augusto here.

Predicted Lineup: Sommer (GK), Bastoni, Acerbi, Pavard, Dimarco, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Darmian, Thuram, Martinez

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

D

Verona

Verona

2

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Italy Serie A 10/05/24

W

Frosinone

Frosinone

0

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

5

Italy Serie A 04/05/24

L

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

1

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

Italy Serie A 28/04/24

W

Torino

Torino

0

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Napoli Preview: Few selection issues for the visitors

The visitors are doing pretty well on the injury front, although Cyril Ngonge and Jens Cajuste are out again. Victor Osimhen is likely to start, but he’s lagging behind rival Lautaro Martinez in a range of Serie A striker stats this season.

Predicted Lineup: Meret (GK), Olivera, Rrahmani, Jesus, Di Lorenzo, Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski, Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

D

Lecce

Lecce

0

Napoli

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 17/05/24

D

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 11/05/24

L

Bologna

Bologna

2

Napoli

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 06/05/24

D

Udinese

Udinese

1

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/24

D

Roma

Roma

2

Napoli

Napoli

2

Player to watch – Lautaro Martinez

Lautaro Martinez has been a goal machine in Serie A but his tendency to fail to show his best football on the biggest of stages continues to haunt him. He failed to hit the target with a “must score” penalty in the shootout in Madrid in midweek as Atleti knocked Inter out of the Champions League.

inter vs napoli prediction
Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring a late goal against Napoli – Photo by Icon Sport

Clinical all season in Serie A

Martinez averages a goal every 89 minutes in the Italian top flight which is some going. The Argentina international averages 3.2 shots per game but has only registered two league assists which highlights how his role in the team is to finish chances rather than create goals.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.