Title challengers Napoli will host Fiorentina at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Saturday in the Serie A, with the home side looking to recover from a difficult period in their title defence.
Napoli’s Champions League campaign ended on Wednesday with a narrow 3-2 defeat to Chelsea in the group stage, adding to a difficult period for the reigning champions.
That setback followed a heavy 3-0 league loss to Juventus last weekend, a result that has left the Partenopei nine points adrift of Serie A leaders Inter Milan and effectively dented their hopes of defending the Scudetto.
While they have not lost back-to-back league matches since December 2023, that run is now under threat. Home comforts could prove crucial, however, as Antonio Conte’s side remain unbeaten in Serie A at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium this season.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, were eliminated from the Coppa Italia on Tuesday following a 3-1 defeat to Como. Still, the reduced fixture list may allow them to focus fully on their league survival battle.
Last weekend’s 2-1 loss to Cagliari pushed La Viola back into the relegation zone, yet recent performances suggest there is still cause for optimism. Eleven of their 17 league points have come from their last seven matches.
Away form remains a key area for improvement, though a 2-1 win at Bologna has opened the door to consecutive Serie A victories on the road for the first time since November 2024.
Read our Napoli vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.
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Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction: Host to claim a comfortable win
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in three of their last five encounters.
- Napoli are unbeaten in their last five meetings against Fiorentina.
- The host have not lost at home in their last five games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 3-1 Fiorentina
We expect the home team to secure all three points this weekend. We predict a 3-1 victory for Napoli based on their superior attacking quality and the tactical discipline that Antonio Conte usually instils in his team following a heavy defeat.
While the Partenopei have struggled for consistency in early 2026, their record at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona remains a significant advantage.
Given that Napoli have won three of the last four meetings between these two clubs, we believe their historical edge and the need to respond to the Juventus loss will carry them to a narrow win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Napoli strong home favourites
- Home: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.
Bookmakers clearly favour Napoli to take all three points, with odds of 1.70 suggesting close to a 59% chance of a home win. Fiorentina are priced at 5.00, reflecting a tougher task on the road, while the draw at 3.60 indicates a moderate chance of a stalemate. Overall, the market points towards Napoli control, but not a completely one-sided contest.
Most recent head-to-head: Recent Partenopei dominance
Napoli has enjoyed a very successful period against Fiorentina in their most recent competitive encounters. Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings, the home side has emerged victorious on four occasions, while the Viola managed to secure one draw during that period.
The most recent clash in September 2025 ended in a convincing 3-1 away victory for Napoli at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Prior to that, the Partenopei secured a 2-1 win at home in March 2025 and a dominant 3-0 away success in January of the same year.
Italy Serie A 13/09/25
Fiorentina
Napoli
Italy Serie A 09/03/25
Napoli
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 04/01/25
Fiorentina
Napoli
Italy Serie A 17/05/24
Fiorentina
Napoli
Italy Super Cup 18/01/24
Napoli
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Napoli vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Napoli preview: Injury concerns in the team
Napoli are dealing with a lengthy injury list, with Billy Gilmour, David Neres, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Amir Rrahmani, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, Pasquale Mazzocchi, and Matteo Politano all unavailable.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Buongiorno, Gutierrez, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola, Vergara, Elmas & Hojlund
Last five fixtures
- 28.01.26 – Napoli 2–3 Chelsea
- 25.01.26 – Juventus 3–0 Napoli
- 20.01.26 – FC Copenhagen 1–1 Napoli
- 17.01.26 – Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo
- 14.01.26 – Napoli 0–0 Parma
Fiorentina preview: Just one absentee in the team
Fiorentina have fewer selection issues by comparison, with Tariq Lamptey the only confirmed absentee due to injury, with every other player available to face the title holders Napoli.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Gosens, Fagioli, Mandragora, Ndour, Solomon, Piccoli & Gudmundsson
Last five fixtures
- 27.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–3 Como
- 24.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari
- 18.01.26 – Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina
- 11.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
- 07.01.26 – Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina
Player to watch: Rasmus Hojlund
Rasmus Hojlund has been an important player for Napoli this season and he is currently their highest goalscorer in the Serie A. The striker has recorded six goals and two assists in the league this season.
His ability to operate between the two centre-backs and find space in the box will be the primary threat that the Fiorentina defenders will face during the game. He will be looking to get his name on the scoresheet in this encounter.