In-form Como travel to Naples this Friday in the Italian top flight. Our Napoli vs Como prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether they can upset Antonio Conte’s side.
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Napoli vs Como prediction: Hosts to win high-scoring affair with Kvaratskhelia on target
Key stats
- Our Napoli vs Como betting tips take into account that 67% of the matches of each team in Serie A this season have produced three or more goals.
- Napoli have won five of their last six matches in all competitions, scoring 16.
- The Serie A matches involving Como so far this term average 3.33 goals per game.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 3-1 Como
Both sides are playing well right now, with back-to-back 3-2 wins for newly promoted Como suggesting they mean business.
An away trip to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona is a really tough assignment though. Napoli are top of Serie A and their superior quality should prove decisive over 90 minutes here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Conte’s side the clear favourites
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 11.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the red hot favourites according to the Napoli vs Como odds with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this match.
They head into this after beating Monza 2-0 at home with Matteo Politano and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia on target.
As for Como, they are enjoying life in the top flight, and beat Verona 3-2 at home last time out with Patrick Cutrone scoring twice.
For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting in 20 years
Our Napoli vs Como prediction suggests the home team will have the edge in the first competitive clash since the 2003/04 Serie B season.
The omens are quite positive for Como here, given they’ve won all of the last three meetings to nil.
Napoli preview: Meret remains out
The Serie A leaders are missing goalkeeper Alex Meret again. They should continue with a 4-3-3 system that is working well.
Predicted Lineup: Caprile (GK), Olivera, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, McTominay, Anguissa, Kvaratskhelia, Politano & Lukaku
Italy Serie A 29/09/24 W Monza 0 Napoli 2 Coppa Italia 26/09/24 W Palermo 0 Napoli 5 Italy Serie A 21/09/24 D Juventus 0 Napoli 0 Italy Serie A 15/09/24 W Cagliari 0 Napoli 4 Italy Serie A 31/08/24 W Parma 1 Napoli 2
Como preview: Cerri sidelined for the visitors
The away team’s only notable absentee is expected to be forward Alberto Cerri who is carrying an injury.
Predicted Lineup: Audero (GK), Moreno, Kempf, Dossena, Van der Brempt, Roberto, Perrone, Fadera, Paz, Strefezza & Cutrone
Italy Serie A 29/09/24 W Verona 2 Como 3 Italy Serie A 24/09/24 W Atalanta 2 Como 3 Italy Serie A 14/09/24 D Bologna 2 Como 2 Italy Serie A 01/09/24 L Udinese 1 Como 0 Italy Serie A 26/08/24 D Cagliari 1 Como 1
Player to watch – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
After an impressive Euro 2024 campaign with Georgia, Kvaratskhelia has only gone from strength to strength back in club colours. He has contributed three goals and two assists this term in six appearances in Serie A.
Kvaratskhelia a bigger threat after the break
The Georgian tends to come alive after the interval in games. Since the start of last season in Serie A, 71% of his goals have come in the Second Half.
