Napoli vs Cagliari prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/12/2025
Napoli players celebrating their win || Credit IMAGO / LaPresse
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First-half draw

Three of their last five meetings have ended in a first-half draw.

The Coppa Italia resumes with Italian giants Napoli hosting Cagliari on Wednesday at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. This clash offers the Partenopei a strong opportunity to progress in the domestic cup competition, while the Isolani will look to cause a major upset against a team with good home form.

Napoli have found their way back to winning ways, with three wins in a row, having suffered one draw and one loss. Their most recent league result was a narrow 1-0 victory over AS Roma last weekend to keep their title race alive.

Cagliari, on the other hand, have endured a challenging start to the Serie A season, hovering around the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with their last Serie A match being a 2-1 away loss against Juventus.

Read our Napoli vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Coppa Italia predictions.

Napoli vs Cagliari prediction: Home team to win 

Key statistics

  • A first-half draw has been played in three of their last five clashes.
  • Napoli have won four of their last five meetings with Cagliari
  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five encounters.

Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari 

Considering the difference in recent form and the dominance of the home side, we anticipate a comfortable victory for the Partenopei. The visitors have struggled significantly in front of goal away from home and this is compounded by the fact that the Neapolitans have kept three clean sheets in their last five encounters against them. 

Napoli’s attacking quality should be enough to help them get a win against Cagliari. We predict a 2-0 win for Napoli, with the home side controlling proceedings from the first whistle.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Napoli are clear favourites

  • Home: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
  • Draw: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • Away: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Given the current form of both sides, bookmakers strongly back Napoli, whose 1.40 odds translate to a 71.4% chance of winning. Cagliari, priced at 8.00 odds (12.5%), are significant underdogs, while the draw sits at 4.40 odds (22.7%).

Most recent head-to-head: Neapolitans dominate recent meetings

A review of their last five meetings confirms the strength of the Neapolitan dominance in this fixture. The home team has secured four wins and one draw, with the visitors failing to claim a single victory in this period. The most recent league clash ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Napoli in 2025. Before that, the champions secured a 2-0 victory and an emphatic 4-0 away win in 2024.

Italy Serie A 30/08/25

Napoli

Napoli

1
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 23/05/25

Napoli

Napoli

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 15/09/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Napoli

Napoli

4

Italy Serie A 25/02/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 16/12/23

Napoli

Napoli

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

1

After reviewing our key Napoli vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Napoli preview: Multiple players injured

Napoli are still battling with injury problems for the upcoming cup games. Alex Meret remains sidelined with a broken foot and Miguel Gutierrez is also unavailable due to a calf injury.

In midfield, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa continues his recovery from a muscle issue and Billy Gilmour is working his way back from a groin injury. Kevin De Bruyne remains out with a thigh injury, while Romelu Lukaku is battling a thigh problem of his own and currently rates as doubtful for the upcoming fixture.

Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Marianucci, Rrahmani, Jesus, Mazzocchi, Lobotka, Elmas, Spinazzola, Politano, Lang & Hojlund

Last five fixtures

  • 30.11.25 – AS Roma 0–1 Napoli
  • 25.11.25 – Napoli 2–0 Qarabag
  • 22.11.25 – Napoli 3–1 Atalanta
  • 09.11.25 – Bologna 2–0 Napoli
  • 04.11.25 – Napoli 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Cagliari preview: Few injury concerns

For Cagliari, Yerry Mina is carrying some physical discomfort and is doubtful for the upcoming match and Ze Pedro is also considered doubtful as he continues to deal with a knee problem.

Luca Mazzitelli is sidelined with a muscle injury and will not be available in the short term, while Andrea Belotti remains a long-term absentee as he continues his recovery from a cruciate ligament injury.

Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Rodriguez, Obert, Di Pardo, Prati, Folorunsho, Idrissi, Gaetano, Luvumbo & Pavoletti

Last five fixtures

  • 29.11.25 – Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
  • 22.11.25 – Cagliari 3–3 Genoa
  • 08.11.25 – Como 0–0 Cagliari
  • 03.11.25 – Lazio 2–0 Cagliari
  • 30.10.25 – Cagliari 1–2 Sassuolo

Player to watch: Rasmus Hojlund

Rasmus Hojlund is the player expected to lead the line and cause the most significant problems for the Cagliari defence. The striker is a powerful presence and has been one of the Partenopei’s most consistent performers in attack this season. 

Rasmus Hojlund in action || Credit - IMAGO / Giuseppe Maffia
Rasmus Hojlund in action || Credit – IMAGO / Giuseppe Maffia

He has scored four goals and provided two assists this season, showing both his goal-scoring capability. The attacker's movement and clinical finishing will be critical to Napoli breaking down the defensive setup of the visitors.


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