The Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples prepares to host one of the biggest games of the season as Atalanta travel to face one of the title contenders, Napoli, in the Serie A on Saturday.
Gli Azzurri, the reigning league champions, have struggled a bit in their last five games with two wins, two draws and one loss. They face immense pressure to close the point gap at the top of the table after suffering a disappointing 2-0 loss against Bologna in their last Serie A outing, losing the top spot in the league table.
Meanwhile, La Dea have faced some difficulties in their last five games, having managed just one win, two draws and two losses. They suffered a 3-0 home thrashing at the hands of Sassuolo, leading to the sacking of their manager, Ivan Juric. They have appointed a new manager, Raffaele Palladino, who will oversee his first games this weekend.
Read our Napoli vs Atalanta predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Napoli vs Atalanta prediction: Home team to nick a win
Key statistics
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five meetings.
- Three of their last five encounters have been won by Napoli.
- Napoli are unbeaten in their last five home games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-1 Atalanta
Considering the need for Napoli to respond forcefully in front of their home supporters and the troubles surrounding the visitors, we tip the home team to claim a victory.
Atalanta’s recent heavy defeat and change in management could affect their performance in this match, as they are yet to get used to the new style of the new manager. Although there is a manager bounce syndrome that could help La Dea, but we do not expect that to happen.
Gli Azzurri will be hungry for three points and will want to keep the title challenge alive, so we are tipping them to defeat Atalanta 2-1 in this encounter.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Napoli are slight favourites
- Home: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- Away: 23/10 (3.30) – 22.7%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Napoli will be looking to bounce back from their previous defeat and have been made slight favourites at 2.15 odds, giving them a 46.5% chance of winning.
A draw is priced at 3.25, implying a 30.8% probability, while Atalanta are given 3.30 odds, translating to a 22.7% chance of victory. We expect a tight game given that La Dea recently appointed a new manager and will be aiming to make an impression in his first games.
Most recent head-to-head: A competitive history
Napoli and Atalanta’s previous meetings have always been tight, with no distinctive winner. Looking at their last five competitive Serie A meetings, Gli Azzurri have secured three victories, while La Dea have managed two wins.
The results in this period show that there have been a lot of goals, including a 3-2 victory for Napoli in January 2025 and two previous 3-0 victories for Atalanta in 2024, showing that this fixture is always tight.
Italy Serie A 18/01/25
Atalanta
Napoli
Italy Serie A 03/11/24
Napoli
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 30/03/24
Napoli
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 25/11/23
Atalanta
Napoli
Italy Serie A 11/03/23
Napoli
Atalanta
After reviewing our key Napoli vs Atalanta predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Napoli preview: New injury worries for Conte
Antonio Conte’s injury list continues to grow as Frank Anguissa picked up an injury while on international duty, adding to Napoli’s already lengthy list of absentees. Alex Meret, Leonardo Spinazzola, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku are still all out injured.
Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Gutierrez, Elmas, Lobotka, McTominay, Politano, Hojlund & Lang
Last five fixtures
- 09.11.25 – Bologna 2 – 0 Napoli
- 04.11.25 – Napoli 0 – 0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 01.11.25 – Napoli 0 – 0 Como
- 28.10.25 – Lecce 0 – 1 Napoli
- 25.10.25 – Napoli 3 – 1 Inter
Atalanta preview: No new injury
Atalanta, who recently appointed a new manager, Palladino, have no new injury concerns in the team after all the players returned from the international break. The only player out with an injury is Mitchel Bakker, who is expected to return next year.
Predicted lineup: Krstovic (GK), Lookman, Samardzic, Zappacosta, Ederson, Pasalic, Bellanova, Ahanor, Hien, Kossounou & Carnesecchi
Last five fixtures
- 09.11.25 – Atalanta 0 – 3 Sassuolo
- 05.11.25 – Marseille 0 – 1 Atalanta
- 01.11.25 – Udinese 1 – 0 Atalanta
- 28.10.25 – Atalanta 1 – 1 AC Milan
- 25.10.25 – Cremonese 1 – 1 Atalanta
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay has been one of Napoli’s top goalscorers this season, with the midfielder being fierce in attack. The Scottish star has scored two goals and provided one assist for Gli Azzurri. He will be the main goal threat in this game and will play a key role if they are to get a win against Atalanta.