Napoli will welcome AS Roma to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona this Sunday evening for a high-stakes encounter that could define the European aspirations of both clubs.
The home team will be eager to bounce back after their midweek Coppa Italia loss to Como, which was their third defeat in five matches across all competitions.
Despite that setback, the Partenopei can take confidence from their incredible home form in Serie A, remaining unbeaten in 22 league games at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
While last weekend’s 3–2 win over Genoa provided a morale boost, a nine-point gap to the top of the table leaves their hopes of defending the Scudetto under serious pressure.
Roma, on the other hand, have steadied themselves after ending a three-match winless streak with a 2–0 victory over Cagliari. However, consistency remains an issue for the Giallorossi.
They have yet to win any of their previous five matches this season against teams starting the round in the top five. As such, Roma face a tough challenge in trying to disrupt Napoli’s dominance at home while keeping their own European ambitions alive.
Read our Napoli vs AS Roma predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
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Napoli vs AS Roma prediction: Home team to win
Key statistics
- Three of their last five meetings have had over 2.5 cards.
- Napoli have won their last two games, back-to-back, in Serie A.
- Two of Napoli’s last three matches have ended in BTTS in the first half.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-1 AS Roma
We expect the home team to secure a narrow victory in this fiercely contested Derby del Sole. We predict a 2-1 win for Napoli, having won back-to-back games in Serie A.
While the Giallorossi often perform better in high-profile fixtures, the tactical discipline instilled by Antonio Conte gives the host a significant advantage in controlling the middle of the pitch and transitions.
We believe the attacking threat posed by the home side, specifically through their wing play, will be enough to breach the Roma backline twice, although the visitors are likely to find the net at least once, given the talent of their forward line.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Napoli are slightly favoured
- Home: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Away: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Napoli are slight favourites to claim victory, with odds of 2.25 implying a 44.4% probability of a home win, reflecting confidence in their recent form and attacking capabilities.
Roma are priced at 3.40, giving them a 29.4% chance of an away win, while the draw sits at 3.10 (32.3%), indicating expectations of a competitive and closely contested encounter. Overall, the odds suggest a tight game, with Napoli holding a slight advantage.
Most recent head-to-head: A tight record
The history between these two sides shows a very balanced rivalry, with both teams enjoying periods of success over the last few seasons. Looking at their last five recent meetings, the record is closely fought, with Napoli winning two times, Roma winning once and two draws.
Recently, the sides shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw in February 2025 before Conte's team managed to edge out another 1-0 win in the first half of the current 2025/2026 campaign.
This sequence of matches proves that neither side finds it easy to dominate the other, although the home advantage at the Maradona has frequently played a decisive role in the final scoreline.
Italy Serie A 30/11/25
Roma
Napoli
Italy Serie A 02/02/25
Roma
Napoli
Italy Serie A 24/11/24
Napoli
Roma
Italy Serie A 28/04/24
Napoli
Roma
Italy Serie A 23/12/23
Roma
Napoli
After reviewing our key Napoli vs AS Roma predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Napoli preview: Several absences, but squad depth remains
Napoli will be without key midfielders Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa and Billy Gilmour, as well as defenders Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Juan Jesus, the latter sidelined due to suspension.
Attackers Kevin De Bruyne and David Neres are also unavailable, limiting options in both midfield and forward areas. Despite these absences, Napoli retain a strong core of players capable of stepping up, maintaining balance across all lines.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Beukema, Gutierrez, Elmas, Lobotka, Spinazzola, Nascimento, Vergara & Hojlund
Last five fixtures
- 10.02.26 – Napoli 1–1 Como (P) (Coppa Italia)
- 07.02.26 – Genoa 2–3 Napoli (Serie A)
- 31.01.26 – Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina (Serie A)
- 28.01.26 – Napoli 2–3 Chelsea (Champions League)
- 25.01.26 – Juventus 3–0 Napoli (Serie A)
AS Roma preview: Multiple injury concerns
AS Roma will be without Kouadio Kone, Stephan El Shaarawy, Artem Dovbyk, and Evan Ferguson due to injury, affecting midfield creativity and attacking options. The visitors may need to reshuffle their frontline and midfield to compensate for this game.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, N'Dicka, Ghilardi, Celik, Cristante, Pisilli, Wesley, Soule, Pellegrini & Malen
Last five fixtures
- 09.02.26 – AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari (Serie A)
- 02.02.26 – Udinese 1–0 AS Roma (Serie A)
- 29.01.26 – Panathinaikos 1–1 AS Roma (Europa League)
- 25.01.26 – AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 22.01.26 – AS Roma 2–0 Stuttgart (Europa League)
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay has emerged as a key figure for Napoli this season, currently sitting as the club’s second-highest scorer in Serie A. The midfielder has contributed six goals and three assists in the league, underlining his growing influence in the final third.
His knack for arriving late and exploiting space inside the box is likely to pose Genoa’s biggest defensive challenge, and he will be keen to add to his goal tally.