Napoli vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips 30/03/2025

The biggest match in Italy this weekend comes from the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona where Napoli will host AC Milan.

The hosts come into the match three points behind Inter Milan at the top of Serie A but failure to win here could prove to be terminal for their title aspirations.

AC Milan, meanwhile, are still just about in the race for the top four. They sit six points behind Bologna but can ill-afford to drop too many more points.

As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Napoli vs AC Milan prediction below.

Napoli vs AC Milan prediction: The visitors to avoid defeat

Key Stats

• Napoli have drawn five of their last eight Serie A matches.
• AC Milan have won their last two Serie A matches.
• Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Napoli's last seven matches.

Correct score prediction: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan

Too many draws in recent times have seen Napoli lose control of the Serie A title race and another one could await them on Sunday night. AC Milan have found some form in recent weeks and while that is unlikely to be enough to get them the win here, it could be enough to earn them a point against a fragile Napoli outfit.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors are the underdogs

• HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Napoli vs AC Milan odds suggest that Napoli are the slight favourites for this one but the bookies clearly don't have too much confidence in Antonio Conte's side. Ladbrokes have given Napoli just a 51.3% chance of winning this match on home soil while AC Milan have been given a 26.7% chance of taking away the three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Recent history favours Milan

AC Milan have lost just two of their last eight matches against Napoli which puts them in a strong position to avoid defeat on Sunday. The Rossoneri took four points off the Partenopei last season but to Napoli's credit, they did win the reverse fixture earlier this season 2-0 at the San Siro.

Italy Serie A 29/10/24

AC Milan

0

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 11/02/24

AC Milan

1

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 29/10/23

Napoli

2

AC Milan

2

UEFA Champions League 18/04/23

Napoli

1

AC Milan

1

UEFA Champions League 12/04/23

AC Milan

1

Napoli

0

Napoli preview: The wheels have come off at the wrong time

Napoli's form has nosedived since the departure of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in January and while it was always going to be impossible to replace the Georgian midseason, the decision to sanction his transfer to PSG is looking like a bad one. Conte will be desperate to get his side back on track and a win against a big side such as AC Milan could do the trick.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Politano, Lobotka, Anguissa, McTominay, Spinazzola, Raspadori, Lukaku

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

0

Napoli

3

Italy Serie A 07/04/25

D

Bologna

1

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

AC Milan

1

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

D

Venezia

0

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 09/03/25

W

Fiorentina

1

Napoli

2

AC Milan preview: Too little, too late?

AC Milan's two consecutive victories prior to the international break have given them some life in the race for the top four but there is a sense that they have left it too late. It's been a torrid season for the club but if nothing else, some end-of-season form could have a positive effect on the start of next.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Walker, Thiaw, Gabbia, Hernandez, Fofana, Bondo, Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao, Abraham

Italy Serie A 11/04/25

W

Udinese

0

AC Milan

4

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

Fiorentina

2

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 02/04/25

D

Inter Milan

1

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

L

Napoli

2

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

W

Como

1

AC Milan

2

Player to watch: Romelu Lukaku

If Napoli are to get over this hump and fire themselves to the title then they are going to need a huge couple of months from Romelu Lukaku. It really does feel as if their title aspirations now hinge on whether the Beglian can produce his very best form or not with all goalscoring responsibilities now on his shoulders.