Bottom-of-the-table Monza will be looking to make the most of their home advantage on Sunday when they take on mid-table Torino in Serie A.
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Monza vs Torino prediction: A low-scoring affair?
Key Stats
- 54% of Monza's home games in Serie A this season have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Monza have lost eight of their 13 home games in the league, winning just once.
- Torino haven't lost any of their last 12 competitive and non-competitive games against Monza, picking up seven wins.
Correct score prediction: Monza 0-1 Torino
The last four league meetings between these two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals and we're expecting another low-scoring game on Sunday. Monza only averaging 0.54 points per home game in Serie A but are only conceding an average of 0.85 goals per game in their own backyard which is why we're backing a narrow 1-0 win for Torino.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour the visitors
- HOME: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- DRAW: 40/17 (3.35) – 29.8%
- AWAY: 17/16 (2.06) – 48.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Torino are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 48.5% but we are expecting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Torino in front
Sunday's guests have won two and drawn three of their last five competitive matches against Monza with the pair playing out a 1-1 draw in November's reverse league meeting.
Italy Serie A 24/11/24
Torino
Monza
Italy Serie A 30/03/24
Torino
Monza
Italy Serie A 11/11/23
Monza
Torino
Italy Serie A 07/05/23
Torino
Monza
Europe Friendlies 28/12/22
Monza
Torino
Monza preview: Thrashed in Rome
Monza would have been expecting a tough 90 minutes at the Stadio Olimpico against Roma last time out, and that is just what they got.
The hosts scored twice in the first half and added two more goals in the second 45 to wrap up a convincing 4-0 win over the relegation-battlers.
Sunday's hosts have a long injury list that includes the likes of Andrea Carboni, Gianluca Caprari, Omari Forson, Danilo D'Ambrosio, Roberto Gagliardini, Matteo Pessina, Stefano Sensi, Andrea Colpani, Samuele Birindelli and Luca Caldirola.
Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), Kyriakopoulos, Pereira, Brorsson, Palacios, Lekovic, Urbanski, Bianco, Ciurria, Ganvoula & Mota
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
W
Udinese
1
Monza
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Atalanta
4
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Juventus
2
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L
Napoli
1
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Venezia
1
Monza
0
Torino preview: Buoyed by win over Milan
Torino recorded an unexpected victory last weekend when they played host to AC Milan.
An own-goal handed Torino the lead after just five minutes and the hosts held that advantage at the halfway point. The visitors looked like they might have salvaged a share of the spoils with a 74th-minute equaliser, only for Gvidas Gineitis to score the winning goal for Torino two minutes later.
Emirhan Ilkhan, Adrien Tameze, Ivan Ilic, Perr Schuurs, Saba Sazonov, Pietro Pellegri, Alieu Njie and Duvan Zapata are all expected to miss the Monza game through injury.
Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Biraghi, Lazaro, Maripan, Pedersen, Coco, Vlasic, Elmas, Ricci, Casadei & Sanabria
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
L
Inter Milan
2
Torino
0
Italy Serie A 02/05/25
D
Venezia
1
Torino
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Napoli
2
Torino
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Udinese
0
Torino
2
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
L
Como
1
Torino
0
Player to watch: Nikola Vlasic
Nikola Vlasic is enjoying his third season with Torino, having made the move to Italy after a disappointing spell at West Ham.
Vlasic, who scored five goals in his first season with the Italians and three last time out, currently has three goals and three assists to his name this season.
The Croatian midfielder has six goal involvements in Serie A
In what we are expecting to be a tight and tense 90 minutes this Sunday, Vlasic could provide the key to unlocking a Monza defence that doesn't tend to concede a lot of goals in their own backyard.