Benfica take a 1-0 advantage into the second leg of their play-off tie in Lisbon on Tuesday. Our Benfica vs Monaco prediction and Champions League betting tips consider whether the Portuguese side can finish the job in front of their own fans.
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Benfica vs Monaco prediction: Pavlidis to score in home win
Key stats
- Our Benfica vs Monaco betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost 11 of their last 23 games in all competitions.
- Monaco have lost four of their last five in the Champions League.
- Only one of Benfica’s 18 home games this season has ended level.
- Their home matches in 2025 to date, average 4.80 goals per game.
Correct score prediction: Benfica 2-1 Monaco
We’ve seen a significant downturn in the fortunes of Monaco over the past few months, and they aren’t playing well enough to suggest there’s much prospect of a second-leg comeback here.
While there are defensive doubts about Benfica which suggest the visitors could get on the scoresheet, the home team have enough firepower to win the game and the tie.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Lage’s side
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Benfica vs Monaco odds, with an implied probability of 55.6% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 1-0 league win at Santa Clara, with Bruma grabbing the only goal.
As for Monaco, they’ve blown hot and cold of late, but they were on fire on Saturday, with Mika Biereth scoring a hat-trick in a 7-1 win over Nantes.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Clubs set for third meeting of the season
Our Benfica vs Monaco prediction suggests the Portuguese side can complete a hat-trick of victories over the Ligue 1 outfit this term.
The two previous meetings were both in the principality, with Benfica winning 3-2 in the league phase, and 1-0 in last week’s first leg, with Vangelis Pavlidis grabbing the only goal.
UEFA Champions League 12/02/25
Monaco
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 27/11/24
Monaco
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 04/11/14
Benfica
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 22/10/14
Monaco
Benfica
Benfica preview: Selection issues for the hosts
Recent signing Bruma and midfielder Florentino are both suspended for Benfica. They are also likely to be missing Alexander Bah, Angel Di Maria, Fredrik Aursnes and Tomas Araujo due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Trubin (GK), Carreras, Otamendi, Silva, Santos, Kokcu, Barreiro, Rollheiser, Akturkoglu, Pavlidis & Schjelderup
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25 D Sporting 1 Benfica 1 Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25 W Estoril 1 Benfica 2 Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25 W AVS 0 Benfica 6 Portugal Cup 23/04/25 W FC Tirsense 0 Benfica 4 Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25 W Guimaraes 0 Benfica 3
Monaco preview: Three suspensions for the visitors
The away team will have to cope without Vanderson, Ali Musrati and Denis Zakaria, with the trio suspended. Wilfried Singo, Aleksandr Golovin, Folarin Balogun and Soungoutou Magassa are carrying injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Majecki (GK), Henrique, Mawissa, Salisu, Kehrer, Coulibaly, Camara, Seghir, Minamino, Akliouche & Biereth
France Ligue 1 10/05/25 W Lyon 0 Monaco 2 France Ligue 1 03/05/25 W St Etienne 1 Monaco 3 France Ligue 1 26/04/25 D Le Havre 1 Monaco 1 France Ligue 1 19/04/25 D Strasbourg 0 Monaco 0 France Ligue 1 12/04/25 W Marseille 0 Monaco 3
