Moldova vs Estonia prediction, odds & betting tips 25/03/2025

Moldova confront Estonia in both sides' second games of their bids to qualify for the 2026 World Cup in Mexico, the USA and Canada.

The two teams began their campaigns with losses, with Moldova falling to a 5-0 thumping against Norway, while Estonia were defeated 2-1 by Israel.

Thus, the game presents a chance for one of Group I's smaller teams to secure their first victory

Find out all the key stats and statistics leading up to the game in this Moldova vs Estonia preview. The match is set to take place at 17:00 on 25 March.

Moldova vs Estonia prediction: Home win expected for in-form Moldova

Key stats

• Despite losing their opening game 5-0, Moldova have won four of their last seven matches.
• Estonia have lost three of their last four games, scoring only one goal.
• All of Moldova's previous four victories have come with a clean sheet.

Correct score prediction: Moldova 1-0 Estonia

Although Moldova have faced a multitude of different minnows in recent months, one thing they do have is a very strong defensive record. Prior to their defeat against Norway, Serghei Clescenko's side had conceded two goals in their previous six matches.

Equally, Estonia have really struggled to find the net recently. Aside from a shock 3-1 win over Azerbaijan, the Baltic nation have managed just one goal in their last six matches, dating all the way back to 11th June 2024. With both of these statistics combined, a narrow 1-0 win for Moldova seems an appropriate prediction.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home victory favoured for Moldova

• HOME: 127/100 (2.27) – 44.05%
• DRAW: 21/1o (3.10) – 32.26%
• AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.67%

This game should be tightly contested. Bookies feel that the match could go either way, but a home win for Moldova comes out on top with a probability of 44.05%. In keeping with the nation's form and Estonia's lack of goal threat, a home win seems a good choice for punters who are looking for a decent return on investment.

In any case, if you like our predictions for this duel, we have more exciting options on our free betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Sixth meeting between these two nations

This match will be the first meeting between the teams for over 15 years. The last time they encountered each other was in 2008, when a goal from Vladimir Voskoboinikov proved to be the difference as Estonia won 1-0. However, a win for Moldova seems to be on the cards this time around.

Moldova preview: Hoping to kick-start World Cup qualification bid

After receiving a pasting from Norway, Moldova will be hoping to take their chance against a much weaker opponent. By no means one of the competition's strongest teams, the 151st-ranked side has proven they do have a certain level of quality about them in recent outings. With Estonia ranked only at 123rd, they will certainly fancy themselves to get three points.

Predicted lineup: Celeadnic (GK), Cojocaru, Craciun, Baboglo, Mudrac, Reabciuk, Caimacov, Motpan, Rata, Postolachi, Nicolaescu

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

L

Estonia

3

Moldova

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

L

Norway

5

Moldova

0

International Match 19/11/24

D

Gibraltar

1

Moldova

1

UEFA Nations League D 16/11/24

W

Andorra

0

Moldova

1

UEFA Nations League D 13/10/24

L

Malta

1

Moldova

0

Estonia preview: Aiming to capitalise on demoralising Moldovan defeat

Estonia will be hoping that Moldova's confidence will be shot after their embarrassing defeat against Norway. Jurgen Henn's side have hardly had much to shout about themselves, but with their win over Azerbaijan proving they are capable of taking on weaker nations and finding the net at times, their manager will be praying they can give their best on the night.

Predicted lineup: Igonen (GK), Kuusk, Paskotsi, Schjonning-Larsen, Peetson, Poom, Kait, Sinyavskiy, Hussar, Saarma, Tamm

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

W

Moldova

2

Estonia

3

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

L

Israel

2

Estonia

1

UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24

L

Slovakia

1

Estonia

0

UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24

D

Azerbaijan

0

Estonia

0

UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24

L

Sweden

3

Estonia

0

Player to watch: Ion Nicolaescu

Moldovan striker Ion Nicolaescu has been in good form this season in the Eredivisie, in which he has grabbed five goals in 17 matches for SC Heerenveen. The team are sat in mid-table, with the 26-year-old the club's joint top scorer.

If he can show his best side on the night, Nicolaescu could be a real handful for the Estonian defence to handle.