Milan will take on Lecce in the Serie A at the San Siro on Sunday, with the home team getting back to winning ways after dropping points in back-to-back games.
The home team bounced back from a first-half deficit to secure a 3-1 victory over Como on Thursday, keeping them three points behind Serie A leaders Inter while remaining the same distance clear of reigning champions Napoli.
The result also extended the Rossoneri’s unbeaten run to five matches, though manager Massimiliano Allegri acknowledged that goalkeeper Mike Maignan played a crucial role in keeping them in the contest.
Confidence is likely to be high ahead of this game at the San Siro, where Milan remain unbeaten in the league since the opening-day loss to Cremonese.
Lecce, on the other hand, have struggled to kickstart 2026. With tough fixtures against top opposition, they have taken just one point from four league matches, most recently losing 1-0 to Inter on Wednesday.
That run leaves them 17th in the table, only three points above an improving Fiorentina side. Their away form is equally concerning, with no wins in their last four road league games, suggesting that the remainder of the campaign may be dominated by a fight to avoid relegation.
Read our Milan vs Lecce predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
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Milan vs Lecce prediction: Home team to get a comfortable win
Key statistics
- The first-half of three of their last five meetings have been won by Milan.
- AC Milan have their last five meetings with Lecce.
- Four of their last five meetings have had over 2.5 goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Milan 3-0 Lecce
Ahead of this clash, we expect the home team to secure a comfortable victory. We predict a 3-0 win for Milan based on their dominant head-to-head record and Lecce's poor away form.
The Rossoneri have been formidable at the San Siro this season, while Lecce have failed to keep a clean sheet in their recent outings against top-half opposition. Given the attacking quality, we believe Milan will control the game from the outset and win by a convincing margin.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Milan tipped to win
- Home: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- Draw: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- Away: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Heading into this fixture, bookmakers make AC Milan clear favourites at 1.29, implying a 77.8% chance of a home win. Lecce are priced at 10.00 (10.0%) to produce an upset, while the draw is available at 5.50 (18.2%). The odds reflect Milan’s strong home record and the gulf in quality between the sides, suggesting a dominant performance is likely at the San Siro.
Most recent head-to-head: Rossoneri dominance
Looking at their previous records, the last five competitive meetings between these two clubs show that Milan have won all five games. The most recent clash ended in a 3-0 victory for Milan in the Coppa Italia in 2025, which followed a 2-0 away win in the league earlier.
Milan also completed a double over Lecce in the 2024-25 campaign, winning 3-0 at home and securing a thrilling 3-2 victory away. The aggregate scoreline over these recent encounters highlights the significant gap in quality between the two sides.
Coppa Italia 23/09/25
AC Milan
Lecce
Italy Serie A 29/08/25
Lecce
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 08/03/25
Lecce
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 27/09/24
AC Milan
Lecce
Italy Serie A 06/04/24
AC Milan
Lecce
After reviewing our key Milan vs Lecce predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Milan preview: Squad fitness and selection worries
Milan face a slight fitness concern with Strahinja Pavlovic, who is recovering from a head injury sustained in an aerial clash last Sunday, requiring nine stitches. Koni De Winter deputised for him against Como and remains ready to fill in if needed. In the attack, Santiago Gimenez is the only confirmed absentee.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, De Winter, Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi, Pulisic & Leao
Last five fixtures
- 15.01.26 – Como 1–3 AC Milan
- 11.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
- 08.01.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Genoa
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
- 28.12.25 – AC Milan 3–0 Verona
Lecce preview: Absences and returning players
Lecce will be without Francesco Camarda, the loanee from Milan, who remains sidelined with a shoulder injury. Defensively, Danilo Veiga and Kialonda Gaspar are suspended, while Lameck Banda and Ylber Ramadani return after serving one-match bans.
In terms of injuries, only Medon Berisha joins Camarda on the sidelines, with Tete Morente back in contention following his return to action on Wednesday.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Kouassi, Gabriel, Siebert, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Pierotti, Gandelman, Sottil & Stulic
Last five fixtures
- 14.01.26 – Inter 1–0 Lecce
- 11.01.26 – Lecce 1–2 Parma
- 06.01.26 – Lecce 0–2 AS Roma
- 03.01.26 – Juventus 1–1 Lecce
- 27.12.25 – Lecce 0–3 Como
Player to watch: Rafael Leao
Rafael Leao has been in electrifying form for Milan in recent weeks. The Portuguese winger continues to be the primary source of creativity for the Rossoneri, consistently tormenting full-backs with his pace and dribbling ability.
This season, he has contributed seven goals and two assists and with Lecce missing key defensive personnel, we expect him to be the catalyst for Milan’s attacking moves in this game.