AC Milan prepare to host Genoa at the San Siro on Thursday, as the Italian top flight continues following the turn of a new year, with the host looking to continue their chase for the league title.
Milan have bounced back strongly following their 2-0 defeat to Napoli in last month’s Supercoppa Italiana semi-final, recording consecutive wins over Verona (3-0) and Cagliari (1-0).
Those victories form part of a broader Serie A unbeaten streak dating back to the opening-day loss against Cremonese. However, Genoa could prove a tricky opponent for Massimiliano Allegri personally, as he has won just one of his last six meetings with the club, even though he remains unbeaten against them in seven matches while managing Milan.
Genoa, meanwhile, were held to a 1-1 draw against Pisa on Saturday, leaving them just three points above the relegation zone ahead of this round. While the result ended a three-game losing streak, it highlighted the struggles facing Daniele De Rossi’s side.
Facing one of Serie A’s top sides, Genoa are expected to struggle once again, having lost seven of eight league games this season against teams that were in the top nine before this round.
Read our Milan vs Genoa predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.
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Milan vs Genoa prediction: Home team to get a win
Key statistics
- Pulisic has scored eight goals in the Serie A this season.
- AC Milan have won three of their last five encounters with Genoa.
- Three of their last five meetings have had over 1.5 goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Milan 2-0 Genoa
We are anticipating a strong performance from the home side and we expect them to secure a comfortable victory. We predict a 2-0 win for Milan based on their attacking quality and the defensive solidity they have displayed at the San Siro throughout the current campaign.
Genoa have struggled this season to rack up wins and get their season on track and we expect the individual quality of the Milan forwards should eventually help the Rossoneri get the victory in this game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan strong favourites
- Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
- Draw: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- Away: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Milan are clear favourites heading into this fixture, with odds of 1.44 implying a 69.4% chance of securing all three points at home. Genoa are heavy outsiders at 7.50, which gives them just a 13.3% probability of pulling off an away win, while the draw is priced at 4.33 (23.1%).
The odds suggest Milan are expected to control proceedings at San Siro through their quality, though Genoa could still make it competitive if they remain compact and take advantage of any lapses in concentration from the host.
Most recent head-to-head: Dominant record for the Rossoneri
Looking at the previous encounters between these two clubs, AC Milan have clearly held the upper hand in recent years. In their last five competitive meetings, the Rossoneri have managed to record three victories, while two matches have ended in a draw.
The most recent clash in 2025 was a thrilling 2-1 win for AC Milan. Before that win, the home team recorded a 0-0 draw at San Siro in 2024. The record shows that Genoa usually find it very difficult to leave Milan with all three points.
Italy Serie A 06/01/26
AC Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
Genoa
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 15/12/24
AC Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 05/05/24
AC Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 07/10/23
Genoa
AC Milan
After reviewing our key Milan vs Genoa predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Milan preview: Pulisic boost for home team
Christian Pulisic is expected to return to the starting lineup after missing out previously due to a minor muscle issue. January signing Niclas Fullkrug is still short of full match fitness, while Santiago Gimenez remains unavailable through injury.
Christopher Nkunku is also sidelined as he continues to recover from an ankle problem, limiting Milan’s attacking options despite Pulisic’s timely return.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi, Pulisic & Leao
Last five fixtures
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
- 28.12.25 – AC Milan 3–0 Verona
- 18.12.25 – Napoli 2–0 AC Milan
- 14.12.25 – AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo
- 08.12.25 – Torino 2–3 AC Milan
Genoa preview: Some absences in the team
Alessandro Marcandalli could be recalled to the starting lineup after Sebastian Otoa picked up a knock against Pisa and missed training. Jean Onana remains unavailable while on Africa Cup of Nations duty with Cameroon, while Albert Gronbaek, Benjamin Siegrist, Maxwel Cornet and Junior Messias are all sidelined through injury.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vazquez, Norton-Cuffy, Malinovskyi, Frendrup, Thorsby, Martin, Vitinha & Colombo
Last five fixtures
- 03.01.26 – Genoa 1–1 Pisa
- 29.12.25 – AS Roma 3–1 Genoa
- 21.12.25 – Genoa 0–1 Atalanta
- 14.12.25 – Genoa 1–2 Inter
- 08.12.25 – Udinese 1–2 Genoa
Player to watch: Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic remains the most influential attacking player for AC Milan and enters this fixture in exceptional form. With three goals in his last five games, the American winger has been the driving force behind most of the positive play for the team.
His ability to drift inside and create space for his teammates makes him a constant threat to any defensive line. If the home side are to break down Genoa, they will almost certainly rely on the creativity in the game.