Midtjylland hold a precious two-goal lead as they welcome Fredrikstad to Denmark for the second leg of their UEFA Europa League (UEL) third qualifying round tie on Thursday night. Indeed, the Wolves beat the Norwegian side 3-1 away from home in the first leg, and so find themselves in pole position to go through.
The winner of the tie will face a play-off match against either RFS or KuPS, while the loser will drop down to the UEFA Europa Conference League (UECL) play-offs, where they will play Crystal Palace. The Premier League side were demoted from the UEL over disputes of multi-club ownership.
Contents
Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad prediction: Danes to finish job off?
Key stats
- Midtjylland are unbeaten in all competitions since April.
- Fredrikstad have only won once in five games in total in all competitions.
- Two of both teams' last three matches have seen four or more total goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Midtjylland 3-1 Fredrikstad
Given recent results for both sides and the tendency not to keep clean sheets, we are expecting plenty of goals for both teams in this one. Midtyjlland should be favourites on home soil, especially with the two-goal lead that they hold.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Midtjylland massive favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Midtjylland are big favourites with bookmakers to claim victory in the second leg, and therefore progress safely into the next round of the UEL. A draw in normal time is rated at 20%, while a Fredrikstad victory away from home can be backed at just under 15%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.
Most recent H2Hs: One win each
Midtjylland's 3-1 win away at Fredrikstad in the first leg was their first-ever victory against their Norwegian opponents. The Danes had previously lost 1-0 in a club friendly back in February 2024.
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 07/08/25
Fredrikstad
Midtjylland
Europe Friendlies 09/02/24
Midtjylland
Fredrikstad
Midtjylland preview: More rotation expected
Midtjylland made as many as seven changes to their starting XI in their 3-3 draw at home to Fredericia last time out, and so could revert back to a similar lineup to the one that played the first leg. However, both Ousmane Diao and Gue-Sung Cho are both unavailable from the squad through injury.
Predicted lineup: Lossl (GK); Mbabu, Lee, Erlic, Paulinho; Osorio, Bravo, Sorensen, Gogorza; Brumado & Dju
Denmark Superligaen 11/05/25
D
FC Copenhagen
1
Midtjylland
1
Denmark Superligaen 04/05/25
W
AGF Aarhus
1
Midtjylland
3
Denmark Superligaen 27/04/25
W
FC Nordsjaelland
0
Midtjylland
5
Denmark Superligaen 22/04/25
L
FC Nordsjaelland
3
Midtjylland
2
Denmark Superligaen 17/04/25
W
FC Copenhagen
2
Midtjylland
4
Fredrikstad preview: Birkso still injured
Goalkeeper Valdemar Birkso is still nursing a thigh injury, so the Dane will not be able to play a part in his native homeland. Otherwise, Fredrikstad have no fresh injury concerns or suspensions in their squad to worry about.
Predicted lineup: Borsheim (GK); Rafn, Fredriksen, Woledzi; Eid, Shein, Owusu, Ohlenschlaeger, Molde; Skogvold & Holten
Norway Eliteserien 11/05/25
W
Kristiansund BK
0
Fredrikstad
1
Norway Cup 07/05/25
W
Pors Grenland
1
Fredrikstad
3
Norway Eliteserien 27/04/25
D
Haugesund
0
Fredrikstad
0
Norway Cup 24/04/25
W
Flint
0
Fredrikstad
5
Norway Eliteserien 21/04/25
W
Sandefjord
1
Fredrikstad
3
Player to watch: Franculino Dju
Franculino Dju has been among the goals in recent games for Midtjylland. Indeed, the striker scored the opening goal of the first leg, and also netted in the Wolves' last outing, also managing to grab himself an assist.