Silverware is on the line when rivals Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory collide in the A-League’s Grand Final at the AAMI Park on Saturday, 31 May. Read our free betting tips for the clash below.
Contents
- 1 Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Expect action at both ends
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Melbourne City are slight favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Victory have the better record
- 4 Melbourne City preview: Five could miss out
- 5 Melbourne Victory preview: Duo of confirmed absentees
- 6 Player to watch – Bruno Fornaroli
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Expect action at both ends
Key Stats
- Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in seven previous meetings with Melbourne City.
- Four goals rattled the net in two of the last three encounters between City and Victory.
- Four players were carded when City and Victory last met in February.
- Melbourne City scored first in four of their last five meetings with Melbourne Victory.
Correct score prediction: Melbourne City 2-2 Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory played out a pulsating 2-2 draw when they last crossed paths in February and that was the second time in three previous encounters between the clubs where four goals hit the net. Expect more excitement in the Grand Final.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Melbourne City are slight favourites
- HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Melbourne City, who last won the Grand Final in 2021, have failed to win each of their last seven meetings with Victory, however, they remain 6/5 favourites here despite that poor run of derby results.
Melbourne Victory are aiming to win the title for the first time since 2018. Victory (fifth) finished three places behind City (second) during the regular A-League campaign, which is why they will kick off the final as 9/4 underdogs. View our free football tips page for more A-League predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Victory have the better record
Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in seven previous meetings of the Melbourne Derby. Five of those seven meetings did finish level, however.
Australia A-League 22/02/25
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
Australia A-League 21/12/24
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
Australia A-League 26/10/24
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Australia A-League 05/05/24
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
Australia A-League 06/04/24
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
Melbourne City preview: Five could miss out
Melbourne City have injury concerns around Samuel Souprayen, James Nieuwenhuizen, James Jeggo, Andrew Nabbout and Jayden Necovski ahead of the Grand Final. City are in good form having lost only one of their last 13 assignments.
Predicted lineup: Beach (GK), Atkinson, Ferreyra, Trewin, Behich, Ugarkovic, Cohen, Lopane, Kuen, Tilio, Caputo
Australia A-League 03/05/25
W
Sydney FC
1
Melbourne City
5
Australia A-League 26/04/25
D
Adelaide United
0
Melbourne City
0
Australia A-League 19/04/25
D
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
Melbourne City
2
Australia A-League 11/04/25
W
Brisbane Roar
2
Melbourne City
3
Australia A-League 05/04/25
W
Central Coast Mariners
0
Melbourne City
1
Melbourne Victory preview: Duo of confirmed absentees
Adama Traore and Mitchell Langerak are both sidelined for Melbourne Victory. Arthur Diles’s side earned a fine 2-0 win over Auckland in the semi-finals. Auckland had topped the pile during the regular A-League season, so Victory's triumph was a significant one.
Predicted lineup: Duncan (GK), Rawlins, Miranda, Jackson, Rodrigues, Teague, Valadon, Velupillay, Machach, Arzani, Fornaroli
Australia A-League 10/05/25
W
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
Melbourne Victory
2
Australia A-League 04/05/25
D
Newcastle Jets
1
Melbourne Victory
1
Australia A-League 25/04/25
W
Macarthur FC
1
Melbourne Victory
2
Australia A-League 19/04/25
L
Auckland FC
2
Melbourne Victory
0
Australia A-League 12/04/25
W
Wellington Phoenix
2
Melbourne Victory
3
Player to watch – Bruno Fornaroli
Veteran Melbourne Victory striker Bruno Fornaroli has been light on goals this term, though he did score his team’s crucial second goal in the semi-finals against Auckland and the 37-year-old forward is capable of producing another big moment on Saturday.
Fornaroli to punish his former club
Fornaroli had a spell with Melbourne City earlier in his career, so facing his old employers in the Grand Final in Melbourne Victory’s colours is certain to have some sort of emotional impact on the Uruguayan. Don’t be surprised if Fornaroli takes centre stage.