Toulouse will make the trip to Orange Velodrome for their Ligue 1 encounter with Marseille on Sunday, 6 April 2025. Which of these teams will claim all the spoils after 90 minutes?
View our free Marseille vs Toulouse predictions below.
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Marseille vs Toulouse predictions: A high-scoring affair
Key stats
- At least four goals were scored in four of Marseille's last five encounters with Toulouse.
- Marseille are unbeaten in the last 15 clashes between these sides.
- Four of Toulouse's last five games produced goals at both ends.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-1 Toulouse
To be fair, Marseille are currently on a three-match losing run. However, Toulouse have not fared much better, as they are coming off back-to-back defeats and have managed only two wins in their last 11 games across all competitions.
Keeping in mind that Marseille were the victors in nine of the last 11 meetings between these teams, we are leaning towards the hosts for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille are clear favourites
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Marseille were knocked out of the Ligue 1 title race last weekend after a disappointing 3-1 defeat at Reims. Having already been eliminated from every other competition, they will now focus on finishing in one of the UEFA Champions League spots.
Although Roberto De Zerbi's troops suffered four defeats in their last five matches, they have a 5-2-1 record in their last eight home games.
On the other hand, Toulouse tend to play better on the road, as they lost only once in their last seven away matches in all competitions (W4, D2).
As it stands, Toulouse are 11th in Ligue 1 ahead of their encounter with third-placed Marseille.
Bearing that in mind, Marseille are the expected winners at 3/4 (1.75). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Marseille vs Toulouse predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that Marseille conceded first in four of their last five matches. For this reason, Toulouse to score first has an appealing look at 7/4 (2.75). That one has a 36.4% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided contest
Marseille won nine of their last 11 meetings with Toulouse and are unbeaten in the last 15 clashes between these sides. In fact, Toulouse have not beaten Marseille in Ligue 1 since March 2012.
France Ligue 1 31/08/24
Toulouse
Marseille
France Ligue 1 21/04/24
Toulouse
Marseille
France Ligue 1 17/09/23
Marseille
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 19/02/23
Toulouse
Marseille
France Ligue 1 29/12/22
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille preview: Looking to avoid a fourth consecutive defeat
Captain Leonardo Balerdi picked up an injury in Marseille's loss to Reims last Sunday; the defender is expected to be out of this clash alongside long-term absentees Amine Harit, Faris Moumbagna, and the banned Chancel Mbemba.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Cornelius, Dedic, Lirola, Merlin, Kondogbia, Rongier, Henrique, Rabiot, Greenwood & Gouiri.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Le Havre
1
Marseille
3
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
D
Lille
1
Marseille
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Brest
1
Marseille
4
France Ligue 1 19/04/25
W
Montpellier
1
Marseille
5
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Monaco
3
Marseille
0
Toulouse preview: Eyeing their biggest win of the season
As for Toulouse, Rasmus Nicolaisen is still sidelined with a calf injury, while Niklas Schmidt is out for the season due to a cruciate ligament tear.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Sidibe, Cresswell, McKenzie, Suazo, Sierro, Casseres, Messali, Gboho, Donnum & King.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Lens
1
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
W
Rennes
1
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
D
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Reims
1
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
Player to watch: Mason Greenwood
With 15 goals and three assists, only two players have more direct goal involvements than Mason Greenwood in the French top flight this season. The former Manchester United player scored a brace in the reverse fixture and will fancy his chances against Toulouse once again.