Top four rivals Lille and Marseille collide at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy in France’s Ligue 1 on Sunday, 4 May. Read our Ligue 1 predictions for the clash below.
Contents
Lille vs Marseille prediction: Expect goals and drama in Lille
Key Stats
- Marseille’s last six Ligue 1 matches have averaged 4.50 goals per game.
- Marseille have lost each of their last four away matches in Ligue 1, conceding three times on each occasion.
- Jonathan David has scored four times in Lille’s last four home games combined.
- Only two clubs in Ligue 1 have collected more cards than Lille (74) this season.
Correct score prediction: Lille 3-2 Marseille
Marseille have lost four away assignments on the spin, conceding three goals in each defeat and their porous defending could be their undoing in Sunday’s crucial top-four bout with Lille.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lille favoured slightly
- HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Lille are just two points behind second-placed Marseille ahead of Sunday’s game and Les Dogues have been given a 42.6% chance of securing the win they need to leapfrog their rivals.
Marseille have been scoring buckets of goals at home in recent weeks, though their away form continues to underwhelm and they will kick off as 21/10 underdogs here as a result. Read more of our football predictions and Ligue 1 analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Draws have been common
Three of the last four meetings between Lille and Marseille were level after 90 minutes. Lille knocked Marseille out of the Coupe de France in January.
France Cup 14/01/25
Marseille
Lille
France Ligue 1 14/12/24
Marseille
Lille
France Ligue 1 05/04/24
Lille
Marseille
France Ligue 1 04/11/23
Marseille
Lille
France Ligue 1 20/05/23
Lille
Marseille
Lille preview: Diakite is suspended
Lille have a clean bill of health in terms of injuries, however, defender Bafode Diakite was sent off against Angers last time out, so is suspended on Sunday. Les Dogues have won four of their last five matches in Ligue 1.
Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Meunier, Mandi, Ribeiro, Ismaily, Haraldsson, Andre, Gomes, Fernandez, David, Akpom
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
L
Brest
2
Lille
0
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
D
Marseille
1
Lille
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Angers
0
Lille
2
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Auxerre
1
Lille
3
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
W
Toulouse
1
Lille
2
Marseille preview: OM could be unchanged
Luiz Felipe is listed as injury for Marseille, though elsewhere, it's as you were following OM's thumping 4-1 win over Brest last week. Marseille will be aiming to snap a run of four successive defeats on the road when they visit Lille.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Murillo, Balerdi, Kondogbia, Garcia, Rongier, Hojbjerg, Greenwood, Rabiot, Henrique, Gouri
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Le Havre
1
Marseille
3
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
D
Lille
1
Marseille
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Brest
1
Marseille
4
France Ligue 1 19/04/25
W
Montpellier
1
Marseille
5
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Monaco
3
Marseille
0
Player to watch – Adrien Rabiot
Experienced campaigner Adrien Rabiot has been reinventing himself as a regular goalscorer in recent weeks for Marseille and the 30-year-old has chipped in with two goals and an assist in his last four appearances for the club.
Dynamic Rabiot could be influential
Rabiot has scored seven goals in Ligue 1 overall this term and he needs to find the net just once more to match his best-ever haul for a single domestic campaign, set when he scored eight Serie A goals for Juventus during the 2022/23 season.