Marseille vs Atalanta prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/11/2025
Atalanta went unbeaten in their two H2Hs in UEL last campaign. (Photo by Imago / Buzzi)
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Anytime goalscorer: Igor Paixao

Paixao is OM's leading goalscorer this term with three goals in as many UCL appearances.

With just one victory each in three UEFA Champions League matches this season, Olympique de Marseille and Atalanta clash heads on Wednesday, 5 November, in a bid to earn maximum points as the race heatens up in Europe’s premier club competition.

Keep close tabs on UEFA Champions League predictions after viewing our key Marseille vs Atalanta tips below.

Marseille vs Atalanta prediction: Les Olympiens to edge past La Dea

Key stats

  • Marseille recently ended their three-match winless run across all competitions.
  • The hosts have just two clean sheets across their last 24 UCL outings (W4, L20).
  • Atalanta have drawn five of their last six competitive games (L1).
  • The visitors are winless in three straight away league fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-1 Atalanta

Despite starting their season brightly, Marseille have waned off late, going winless in three, before beating Auxerre 1-0 in Ligue 1 last matchday. While it was not their most convincing victory, Roberto De Zerbi will be hopeful of the result inspiring his men to back-to-back wins.

Atalanta have struggled as well this term, as they remain winless in six consecutive matches across all competitions, although their recent 1-0 defeat to Udinese was their first loss since falling to Paris Saint-Germain on the opening UCL matchday.

Morale is expected to be low in the away camp, as Marseille return to Stade Velodrome with confidence following their victory over Auxerre. Expect Atalanta to lose by the narrowest of margins in a tight affair in the south of France.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Similar odds for victory

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.2%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bookmakers back the Olympians to keep up their momentum following their recent victory. They are backed by odds of 21/10 (3.10), suggesting a 32.2% chance of triumph against a Atalanta side who have scored four goals in their last six matches.

Ivan Juric‘s plans to revive Atalanta’s season hasn’t gone according to plan since taking charge of the dugout. Traveling to Stade Velodrome is perhaps not the most welcoming of scenarios, but bookies back the visitors with odds of 23/10 (3.30) – a 30.3% win probability.

Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Marseille vs Atalanta predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: La Dea with the upper hand

Atalanta and Marseille met in the UEFA Europa League last season, with the Italian side drawing 1-1 at the Velodrome, before winning 3-0 on home soil in Bergamo.

UEFA Europa League 09/05/24

Atalanta

Atalanta

3
Marseille

Marseille

0

UEFA Europa League 02/05/24

Marseille

Marseille

1
Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Marseille preview: More than a handful missing

De Zerbi will be without 12 players, with some of them long-term absentees. Timothy Weah, Amine Gouiri, Emerson, Neal Maupay, Facundo Medina and Hamed Traore are few of the dozen missing players.

Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Murillo, Pavard, Aguerd, Garcia, O’Riley, Hojbjerg, Gomes, Paixao, Greenwood & Aubameyang

Last five matches:

  • Auxerre 1-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • Marseille 2-2 Angers (Ligue 1)
  • Lens 2-1 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Marseille (UEFA Champions League)
  • Marseille 6-2 Le Havre (Ligue 1)

Atalanta preview: Low on morale

Atalanta’s pursuit of a second victory this UCL season will be without the likes of Giorgio Scalvini, Daniel Maldini, Marten De Roon and Mitchel Bakker.

Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi, Ahanor, Kossounou, Hien, Pasalic, Zappacosta, Jose, Bernasconi, De Ketelaere, Krstovic & Lookman

Last five matches:

  • Udinese 1-0 Atalanta (Serie A)
  • Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • Cremonese 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A)
  • Atalanta 0-0 Slavia Prague (UEFA Champions League)
  • Atalanta 0-0 Lazio (Serie A)

Player to watch: Igor Paixao

Igor Paixao
Paixao has three strikes this UCL season. (Photo by Imago / Presse Sports)

Brazilian forward Igor Paixao has been impressive for Marseille this season, rising in the UCL goalscoring charts with three strikes and one assist already. His last goal came against Sporting Lisbon in the form of a consolation as Marseille lost 2-1, before which he netted a brace in the triumphant 4-0 result against Ajax.

uefa champions league betting

With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.