Man City vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/07/2024
AC Milan were in friendly action in Vienna last weekend - Photo by IMAGO.
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AC Milan or Draw

Man City are still missing much of their first team squad following the international action and have looked vulnerable defensively in pre-season.

Man City continue their pre-season preparations with a friendly against AC Milan at Yankee Stadium in New York. Our Man City vs AC Milan prediction considers whether Pep Guardiola’s side can get back to winning ways.

Man City vs AC Milan prediction: Italians to edge entertaining affair

Key stats

  • Our Man City vs AC Milan betting tips take into account that both teams have scored in nine of the last 14 games involving the English champions.
  • Both teams have scored in each of the last six AC Milan fixtures.
  • There have been four or more goals in five of their last six games.

Correct score prediction: Man City 2-3 AC Milan

Given the extensive international commitments of their squad, Man City have virtually no senior defenders available. That was a big factor in their 4-3 defeat to Celtic last time out and Milan are also well capable of putting a youthful City side to the sword. However, with Erling Haaland on the pitch, the English team should certainly carry a threat of their own and we should get goals in this game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: City favourites to claim first pre-season win

  • MAN CITY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AC MILAN: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Pep Guardiola’s team are the favourites according to the Man City vs AC Milan odds with an implied probability of 55.6% that they win this one.

It wasn’t a good start to pre-season for City who lost 4-3 to Celtic in midweek despite goals from Oscar Bobb, Maximo Perrone and Erling Haaland.

Milan have also played one pre-season game to date, drawing 1-1 against Rapid Vienna.

For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best options from this week’s action.

Most recent H2Hs: Two clubs whose paths rarely cross

Our Man City vs AC Milan prediction points to a victory for the Serie A side. The clubs last met competitively way back in the 1978/79 UEFA Cup when City won 5-2 on aggregate. The English side were also 1-0 winners in a 2008 friendly at the Etihad and 5-1 winners in a 2014 pre-season clash in the United States.

Man City preview: A host of stars still missing

With so many players involved at Copa America and Euro 2024, it’s an inexperienced Manchester City squad that is currently in the United States. Pep Guardiola is likely to make a few changes from the Celtic game with Maximo Perrone and Ederson potentially coming in, but new signing Savio is not expected to feature.

Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Wilson-Esbrand, Mbete, Simpson-Pusey, Lewis, Phillips, Perrone, Grealish, McAtee, Bobb & Haaland

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Southampton

Southampton

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 02/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Man City

Man City

1

England FA Cup 27/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 22/04/25

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Man City

Man City

2

AC Milan preview: Fonseca to go stronger in New York

After a poor display against Rapid Vienna in a friendly last weekend, AC Milan should field a stronger eleven in this one. They are still missing a few internationals though with Mike Maignan, Theo Hernandez, Tijjani Reijnders and new signing Alvaro Morata unavailable.

Predicted Lineup: Sportiello (GK), Florenzi, Gabbia, Tomori, Terracciano, Bennacer, Loftus-Cheek, Pobega, Saelemaekers, Traore, Maldini

Italy Serie A 09/05/25

W

Bologna

Bologna

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

W

Genoa

Genoa

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Venezia

Venezia

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 23/04/25

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Player to watch – Erling Haaland

With Norway not at Euro 2024, Erling Haaland will be the main draw at Yankee Stadium for the fans that show up to watch a game that is missing a host of big names. The striker scored 27 goals in 31 Premier League appearances last term and was also on target against Celtic last time out.

man city vs ac milan predictions
Haaland scored in the defeat to Celtic. – Photo by IMAGO.

Haaland hungry for more in third season at City

The Norwegian has won the golden boot in his two Premier League campaigns to date. He averaged more shots than anyone else in the division last season with 3.9 per game.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.