Greece and Malta clash in an international friendly on Tuesday in Austria. Our Malta vs Greece prediction considers whether either side can sign off for the season with a win.
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Malta vs Greece prediction: Greeks to win by two
Key stats
- Our Malta vs Greece betting tips take into account that the underdogs have been beaten by at least two goals in five of their last seven matches.
- 56% of Greece matches in the 2023/24 season have produced over 2.5 goals.
- All of Greece’s last four international wins have come by at least a two goal margin.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Greece the clear favourites
- MALTA: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
- GREECE: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Nikos Papadopoulos’s side are the favourites according to the Malta vs Greece odds with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this one.
Greece come into the game having competed well against Euro 2024 hosts Germany on Friday, losing only 2-1 to an 89th minute goal from Pascal Gross.
Malta meanwhile head into this one after a crushing 7-1 defeat to the Czech Republic on Friday with a red card for Joseph Mbong not helping matters.
For more of the latest football picks, today’s betting tips feature some of the best bets from this week’s action.
Last five H2Hs: Just three goals in five for Malta
Our Malta vs Greece prediction is backed up by recent history with the Greeks winning four of the last five meetings, scoring twelve goals in the process. Malta have only netted three times across those games, holding Greece to a draw on one occasion.
International Match 17/11/22
Malta
Greece
Malta preview: Changes expected after Czech humiliation
After a 7-1 defeat, Malta will surely ring the changes. They have been hit by a number of injury withdrawals too with Luke Montebello, Yannick Yankam and Carlo Zammit Lonardelli all pulling out.
Predicted Lineup: Al-Tumi (GK), Borg, Shaw, Tabone, Corbalan, Muscat, Guillaumier, Pisani, Teuma, Paul Mbong, Nwoko
UEFA Nations League D 10/09/24 W Andorra 0 Malta 1 UEFA Nations League D 07/09/24 L Moldova 2 Malta 0 International Match 11/06/24 L Greece 2 Malta 0 International Match 07/06/24 L Czech Republic 7 Malta 1 International Match 26/03/24 D Belarus 0 Malta 0
Greece preview: Some experimentation likely
While they performed well against Germany, it’s likely that Greece will use this game to give minutes to some of their younger players. They’ve not been hit by any fresh injury blows.
Predicted Lineup: Mandas (GK), Giannoulis, Koulierakis, Mavroponas, Saliakas, Mantalos, Bouchalakis, Bakasetas, Tzolis, Douvikas, Masouras
UEFA Nations League B 10/09/24 W Rep of Ireland 0 Greece 2 UEFA Nations League B 07/09/24 W Finland 0 Greece 3 International Match 11/06/24 W Malta 0 Greece 2 International Match 07/06/24 L Germany 2 Greece 1 Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24 L Georgia 0 (4) Greece 0 (2)
Player to watch – Tasos Douvikas
Celta Vigo forward Tasos Douvikas is one player who could rotate in. He endured a frustrating first season in Spain in terms of struggling for game-time but his goal return was still very impressive with a strike every 127 minutes in La Liga while he scored six across two outings in the Copa del Rey.
Douvikas the super sub
In La Liga this season, all of Tasos Douvikas’ seven goals came after the break. In all competitions, a huge 85% of his strikes came in the Second Half but he’ll be craving more regular opportunities from the off for both club and country.
