Malta vs Greece prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/06/2024

Malta vs Greece prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/06/2024
Greece were only narrowly beaten by Germany last week - Photo by Icon Sport

Greece and Malta clash in an international friendly on Tuesday in Austria. Our Malta vs Greece prediction considers whether either side can sign off for the season with a win.

Malta vs Greece prediction: Greeks to win by two

Key stats

  • Our Malta vs Greece betting tips take into account that the underdogs have been beaten by at least two goals in five of their last seven matches.
  • 56% of Greece matches in the 2023/24 season have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • All of Greece’s last four international wins have come by at least a two goal margin.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Greece the clear favourites

  • MALTA: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
  • GREECE: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Nikos Papadopoulos’s side are the favourites according to the Malta vs Greece odds with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this one.

Greece come into the game having competed well against Euro 2024 hosts Germany on Friday, losing only 2-1 to an 89th minute goal from Pascal Gross.

Malta meanwhile head into this one after a crushing 7-1 defeat to the Czech Republic on Friday with a red card for Joseph Mbong not helping matters.

For more of the latest football picks, today’s betting tips feature some of the best bets from this week’s action.

Last five H2Hs: Just three goals in five for Malta

Our Malta vs Greece prediction is backed up by recent history with the Greeks winning four of the last five meetings, scoring twelve goals in the process. Malta have only netted three times across those games, holding Greece to a draw on one occasion.

International Match 17/11/22

Malta

Malta

2
Greece

Greece

2

Malta preview: Changes expected after Czech humiliation

After a 7-1 defeat, Malta will surely ring the changes. They have been hit by a number of injury withdrawals too with Luke Montebello, Yannick Yankam and Carlo Zammit Lonardelli all pulling out.

Predicted Lineup: Al-Tumi (GK), Borg, Shaw, Tabone, Corbalan, Muscat, Guillaumier, Pisani, Teuma, Paul Mbong, Nwoko

International Match 11/06/24

L

Greece

Greece

2

Malta

Malta

0

International Match 07/06/24

L

Czech Republic

Czech Republic

7

Malta

Malta

1

International Match 26/03/24

D

Belarus

Belarus

0

Malta

Malta

0

International Match 21/03/24

D

Slovenia

Slovenia

2

Malta

Malta

2

Euro 2024 Qualifying 17/11/23

L

England

England

2

Malta

Malta

0

Greece preview: Some experimentation likely

While they performed well against Germany, it’s likely that Greece will use this game to give minutes to some of their younger players. They’ve not been hit by any fresh injury blows.

Predicted Lineup: Mandas (GK), Giannoulis, Koulierakis, Mavroponas, Saliakas, Mantalos, Bouchalakis, Bakasetas, Tzolis, Douvikas, Masouras

International Match 11/06/24

W

Malta

Malta

0

Greece

Greece

2

International Match 07/06/24

L

Germany

Germany

2

Greece

Greece

1

Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24

L

Georgia

Georgia

0 (4)

Greece

Greece

0 (2)

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

W

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

0

Greece

Greece

5

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/11/23

D

France

France

2

Greece

Greece

2

Player to watch – Tasos Douvikas

Celta Vigo forward Tasos Douvikas is one player who could rotate in. He endured a frustrating first season in Spain in terms of struggling for game-time but his goal return was still very impressive with a strike every 127 minutes in La Liga while he scored six across two outings in the Copa del Rey.

malta vs greece predictions
Tasos Douvikas is hoping to take his chance – Photo by Icon Sport

Douvikas the super sub

In La Liga this season, all of Tasos Douvikas’ seven goals came after the break. In all competitions, a huge 85% of his strikes came in the Second Half but he’ll be craving more regular opportunities from the off for both club and country.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.