It’s a trip to the Balearic Islands as Real Madrid begin their Spanish title defence on Sunday. Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid prediction considers whether they can build on an impressive midweek win in the UEFA Super Cup.
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Mallorca vs Real Madrid prediction: Hosts to grab a point despite Mbappe strike
Key stats
- Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account that the hosts won six of their seven pre-season games.
- It was two defeats from three in pre-season for Los Blancos, prior to their Super Cup success.
- Mallorca have only lost four of their last 20 home games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Mallorca 1-1 Real Madrid
While Los Blancos looked pretty good in the Super Cup against Atalanta, they are not anywhere near full match sharpness yet. This is a ground where they’ve struggled a bit in recent years and with Mallorca looking for a new manager bounce, on the back of a strong pre-season, we could see the home team grab a surprise point.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the clear favourites
- HOME: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Mallorca vs Real Madrid odds with an implied probability of 67.7% that they win the game.
It was a 2-0 success for Real Madrid in midweek with Fede Valverde and new signing Kylian Mbappe scoring the goals to sink Atalanta.
Mallorca ended pre-season with a 1-1 draw against Champions League outfit Bologna last weekend.
For more picks, today’s free football tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Mallorca hoping to replicate recent wins
Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid prediction suggests the islanders may be able to get another good result, having beaten Los Blancos 1-0 at home in both 2019 and 2023. There has been just one goal in each of the last three meetings.
Spain La Liga 13/04/24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 03/01/24
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 05/02/23
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 11/09/22
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 14/03/22
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Mallorca preview: A race to be the new number one
After the departure of Predrag Rajkovic, Leo Roman and Dominik Greif are battling to start in goal. Javi Llabres is the only injury concern.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Mojica, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Mascarell, Darder, Samu Costa, Dani Rodriguez, Muriqi & Asano
Spain La Liga 27/09/24 W Valladolid 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 23/09/24 W Real Betis 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 17/09/24 W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 1 Spain La Liga 14/09/24 L Villarreal 2 Mallorca 1 Spain La Liga 31/08/24 W Leganes 0 Mallorca 1
Real Madrid preview: Ancelotti to stick with Super Cup side?
Carlo Ancelotti could name the same eleven that started against Atalanta, although fresh legs may be considered with many players not up to full fitness yet. Eduardo Camavinga is out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Mendy, Militao, Rudiger, Carvajal, Tchouameni, Valverde, Vini Jr, Bellingham, Rodrygo & Mbappe
UEFA Champions League 02/10/24 L Lille 1 Real Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 29/09/24 D Atletico Madrid 1 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 24/09/24 W CD Alaves 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 21/09/24 W Espanyol 1 Real Madrid 4 UEFA Champions League 17/09/24 W VfB Stuttgart 1 Real Madrid 3
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
After a goal on his full debut, Kylian Mbappe will be hoping to impress as he plays in La Liga for the first time. The Frenchman registered 27 goals and seven assists in Ligue 1 last term.
Mbappe targeting best ever goal return
As the number nine in a dominant Real Madrid side, Mbappe will surely fancy his chances of passing 30 league goals for only the second time in his career. His best haul was 33 for PSG in the 2018/19 season.
