Real Madrid need to win on Wednesday night, otherwise Barcelona will be crowned Spanish champions. Our Real Madrid vs Mallorca prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Los Blancos can at least delay Barca’s title party.
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Real Madrid vs Mallorca prediction: Hosts to win by one
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Mallorca betting tips take into account that Los Blancos have kept just three clean sheets in their last 16 games.
- Mallorca have only been beaten by more than a single goal on four occasions this season.
- Four of their last seven matches have ended in one-goal defeats.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca
Real Madrid’s extensive selection problems in defence suggests that the visitors have a strong chance of getting on the scoresheet at some point in this game.
Mallorca won’t be short on motivation as they chase European football, but they may still struggle to live with the threat being posed by an in-form Kylian Mbappe, with the Frenchman likely to fire his team to victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Mallorca odds, with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.
They head into the game after a 4-3 defeat in El Clasico, despite Mbappe becoming only the third player to score a hat-trick in the fixture in the 21st century, after Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez.
As for Mallorca, they were 2-1 winners at home to Real Valladolid on Saturday, with Omar Mascarell and Sergi Darder scoring.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Little Bernabeu joy for Mallorca
Our Real Madrid vs Mallorca prediction suggests that Los Blancos will be capable of recording a ninth straight home victory against this opposition in La Liga.
Recent meetings have tended to be quite tight, with each of the last four clashes in the league serving up two or fewer goals.
Spain Super Cup 09/01/25
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 18/08/24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 13/04/24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 03/01/24
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 05/02/23
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Real Madrid preview: Defensive problems for Ancelotti
Aurelien Tchouameni is suspended for this game, adding to Madrid’s defensive problems. They are already short in that department given they are missing Antonio Rudiger, Dani Carvajal, Eduardo Camavinga, Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao and David Alaba to injuries.
Forwards Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo have also picked up injuries and won't feature in this one.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Jacobo, Asencio, Valverde, Ceballos, Modric, Guler, Bellingham, Endrick & Mbappe
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Mallorca preview: Arrasate to rotate?
Jagoba Arrasate tends to rotate in midweek games, and he’s also missing Abdon Prats to an injury, while Robert Navarro and Manu Morlanes are both rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Roman (GK), Copete, Raillo, Valjent, Lato, S. Costa, Mascarell, Morey, Darder, A. Sanchez & Larin
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 05/05/25 L Girona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Leganes 0 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 2
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
After netting three times against Barcelona, Mbappe has now scored more goals (39) in his debut season for Real Madrid than any other player in the club’s history.
Mbappe on course for the Pichichi
The Frenchman now leads Robert Lewandowski by two goals in the Pichichi race. 59% of his strikes in La Liga this season have come before the break.