Having secured a top-eight finish in the Champions League, it’s back to domestic action for Atletico Madrid this Saturday at the Estadio Metropolitano. Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can get their title push back on track with a victory.
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Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca prediction: Hosts to win by one
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca betting tips take into account that 81% of matches for Los Rojiblancos in La Liga this term have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Mallorca have lost four of their last six in the league.
- Only one of their last five matches in La Liga has seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
There could be some fatigue in the home camp, following another key European game on Wednesday, but they’ll fancy they can get over the line here.
Mallorca’s recent form has been patchy, and they’ve lost their last two games to nil. They should be competitive here, but Atleti’s superior quality and greater options from the bench, could prove decisive.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the clear favourites
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca odds, with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.
They progressed into the Champions League round-of-16 by beating Salzburg 4-1 in midweek, with Antoine Griezmann bagging a brace.
As for Mallorca, they were last in action in La Liga last weekend, going down 1-0 at home to Betis to a very late goal.
For more from the upcoming action around Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Atleti targeting fifth straight win
Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca prediction suggests Diego Simeone’s team can extend a four-game winning streak against this opposition.
All of the last three meetings between the clubs have ended with 1-0 scorelines in favour of the side from the capital.
Spain La Liga 10/11/24
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 04/05/24
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 25/11/23
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 26/04/23
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 09/11/22
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid preview: De Paul serves ban
Simeone may seek some fresh legs, with light rotation expected following the midweek game in Austria. Rodrigo De Paul will definitely drop out due to suspension, while Javi Galan is injured.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak, Azpilicueta, Lenglet, Gimenez, Molina, Gallagher, Barrios, Koke, Simeone, Griezmann & Sorloth
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Mallorca preview: Arrasate missing two
The visitors will have to cope without the suspended Omar Mascarell, as well as the injured Manuel Morlanes.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Mojica, Valjent, Raillo, Maffeo, Costa, A. Sanchez, Darder, Larin, Muriqi & D. Rodriguez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Valladolid 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 05/05/25
L Girona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
L Barcelona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Leganes 0 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 2 
Player to watch – Antoine Griezmann
Griezmann is still the player that makes Atleti tick in the final third of the pitch. The Frenchman has scored 14 and assisted six in all competitions this term.
Grizi striking after the break in La Liga
86% of Griezmann’s league goals this term have come in the second half. His most important late contribution was the 94th minute winner against Sevilla which kept Atleti on course for a club record winning streak.