Mainz vs Wolfsburg prediction, odds & betting tips 24/01/2026
Urs Fischer looks on during Mainz game - IMAGO / Revierfoto
🔥 Our Hot tip

First half winners: Mainz 05

Mainz have been scoring first and winning the first half in four of their last five matches.

Mainz 05 will be looking to bounce back to winning ways when they continue their Bundesliga campaign at home to Wolfsburg on Saturday afternoon.

View our Mainz vs Wolfsburg predictions below.

Mainz vs Wolfsburg prediction

Key stats

  • Wolfsburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 games.
  • The visitors have been conceding first in four of their last five games.
  • There have been under 4.5 cards for both teams in five of their last six games.

Correct score prediction: Mainz 1-2 Wolfsburg

After a tough start to the season, Mainz appeared to have some sort of form recently, picking up three draws and a win from their last five Bundesliga matches.

They have been winning the first half, but have not been able to win more matches at the final whistle.

Wolfsburg, on the other hand, have picked up three wins and a draw in their last six games, and have picked up three wins away from home already this season.

The visitors have scored in each of their last 10 games, and have been involved in over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven games.

Considering they have not lost their last three meetings against Mainz and that eight of their last 10 meetings have produced over 2.5 goals, we predict a 2-1 win for Wolfsburg.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz favourites as per the bookies

HOME: 13/10 (2.3) – 43.5%

DRAW: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%

AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.7%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Mainz have improved in recent weeks, but they have still won only once in their last 14 Bundesliga games. They are slight favourites at 13/10 (2.3) with 43.5% winning probability.

Wolfsburg have picked more away wins than at home, and they are priced at 15/8 (2.88) with 34.7% chances of picking all three points.

Mainz have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight meetings against Wolfsburg, while the visitors have failed to do so in their last 12 games. Therefore, BTTS – Yes at 8/13 (1.62) is a strong possibility at 61.7%.

The home side have been consistently winning the first half, as mentioned above, and back them at 19/10 (2.9) to do it again on Saturday.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Mainz vs Wolfsburg predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: No clear-cut advantage for any side

In the history between the two clubs, Mainz have won nine times, Wolfsburg 16, and 14 times there have been no winners.

In the corresponding fixture, Mainz drew 1-1 away from home. However, they have won only once in their last seven games.

Germany Bundesliga I 31/08/25

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

Mainz

Mainz

2
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 08/12/24

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

4
Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1
Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 13/01/24

Mainz

Mainz

1
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1

Mainz preview: Team News

Mainz are still missing a host of key players, with the likes of Phillipp Mwene, Anthony Caci, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Maxim Dal, Robin Zentner and Nikolas Veratschnig are all out injured.

They have scored just seven goals at home this season, and that needs to improve if they want to pick up more wins in their upcoming games.

Predicted lineups: Batz (GK), Da Costa, Bell, Kohr, Widmer, Sano, Potulski, Je-Sung, Nebel, Nvumpa & Tietz

Last five results:

  • Koln 2-1 Mainz
  • Mainz 2-1 Heidenheim
  • Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz
  • Mainz 0-0 FC St. Pauli
  • Mainz 2-0 Samsunspor

Wolfsburg preview: Impressive away form

Wolfsburg have recorded three wins and a draw, and suffered four losses from their eight away matches. They have scored 11 goals on their travels, and are likely to score against Mainz as well.

Daniel Bauer confirmed ahead of the match that Dzenan Pejcinovic will travel with the squad after returning to training. Mattias Svanberg has also returned to training, while winter signing Kento Shiogai could get some minutes.

Predicted lineups: Grabara (GK), Burger, Jens, Kulierakis, Zehnter, Gerhardt, Vinicius, Eriksen, Majer, Wimmer & Pejcinovic 

Last five fixtures

  • Wolfsburg 1-1 Heidenheim
  • Wolfsburg 2-1 St Pauli
  • Bayern Munich 8-1 Wolfsburg
  • Estrela 1-1 Wolfsburg
  • Wolfsburg 3-4 Freiburg

Player to watch: Said El Mala

The 19-year-old is an exciting talent, and several clubs, including Bayern Munich and Manchester City, are reportedly keenly interested in him.

Mainz vs Wolfsburg
Said El Mala in action during Mainz game – IMAGO / Chai v.d. Laage

The dazzling winger has scored seven goals and provided two assists in the Bundesliga this season, and Mainz will look up to him to provide some magic.

bundesliga predictions

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.