Heidenheim vs Mainz prediction
Margins could be slim when Heidenheim host Mainz on Sunday. (Photo by Imago)
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Under 2.5 total goals

Five of Mainz’s last six Bundesliga fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals.

Heidenheim take on Mainz at the Voith-Arena in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 16 February. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.

Heidenheim vs Mainz prediction: Low-scoring affair possible

Key Stats

  • Five of Mainz’s last six Bundesliga fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Each of the last three meetings between Heidenheim and Mainz have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Nine players were carded when Heidenheim and Mainz last met in September.
  • Heidenheim have failed to win 15 of their last 16 fixtures in the Bundesliga.

Correct score prediction: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz

Heidenheim (two goals in four games) and Mainz (three goals in five matches) have both been short on goals in recent fixtures, so a low-scoring draw could be the outcome to consider in the correct score markets on Sunday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz favoured in the markets

  • HOME: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Heidenheim won 2-1 at FC Copenhagen in the Conference League in midweek and fatigue might be an issue for the 27/10 underdogs on Sunday following their midweek efforts.

Mainz drew 0-0 with Augsburg in their last outing and the 21/20 favourites are still in a decent position in 7th spot in the Bundesliga standings. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Heidenheim have the better record

Heidenheim beat Mainz 2-0 in the clubs’ last encounter to extend their unbeaten run in this fixture to three games.

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

Mainz

Mainz

0
Heidenheim

Heidenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 05/05/24

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 16/12/23

Mainz

Mainz

0
Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

Heidenheim preview: Fohrenbach and Dorsch are out

Heidenheim will be without the services of Jonas Fohrenbach and Niklas Dorsch on Sunday. Heidenheim came from behind to beat FC Copenhagen in an exciting Conference League clash in Denmark in midweek, though they are still embroiled in a relegation battle domestically.

Predicted lineup: Muller (GK), Traore, Mainka, Gimber, Busch, Kerber, Schoppner, Beck, Kratzig, Honsak, Zivzivadze

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

3

Germany Bundesliga I 02/05/25

D

Bochum

Bochum

0

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

Germany Bundesliga I 25/04/25

W

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

0

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

4

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

Germany Bundesliga I 13/04/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

3

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

Mainz preview: Caci returns from a ban

Tom Krauss, Niklas Tauer and Stefan Bell could be out for Mainz though Anthony Caci is available again following the completion of his suspension. Mainz drew 0-0 with Augsburg in their last fixture and dropped down to 7th place shortly after.

Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Widmer, Sano, Amin, Mwene, Nebel, Jae-Sung, Burkardt

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Bochum

Bochum

1

Mainz

Mainz

4

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Mainz

Mainz

0

Player to watch – Jonathan Burkardt

Goals could be at a premium on Sunday but Mainz talisman Jonathan Burkardt is as likely as anyone to break the deadlock at the Voith-Arena.

Heidenheim vs Mainz prediction
Jonathan Burkardt is inching his way back to peak fitness for Mainz. (Photo by Imago)

Burkardt is a potential match winner

Burkardt came off the bench in the 67th minute of Mainz’s 0-0 draw with Augsburg last weekend and had two attempts at goal in that stalemate. The 24-year-old, who has already scored 12 times in the Bundesliga this term, should be an even bigger threat from the start on Sunday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.