Mainz 05 will aim to pick up their first win in the Bundesliga since September when they take on St Pauli at MEWA Arena on Sunday, before the winter break.
View our Mainz 05 vs St Pauli predictions below.
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Mainz 05 vs St Pauli prediction: Battle of strugglers
Key stats
- Mainz 05 are undefeated in their last three games.
- St Pauli have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 games.
- The visitors have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven games.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 2-1 St Pauli
Both Mainz and St Pauli are struggling in the Bundesliga this season, but both have appeared to be picking up some form in recent games, going three games undefeated.
Mainz are bottom of the Bundesliga table, but the 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich will give them a lot of confidence.
St Pauli have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four meetings against Mainz and have lost all four.
Thus, both teams are likely to score, but we predict Mainz to pick up their first win in the Bundesliga since September.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz 05 favourites
HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
DRAW: 23/10 (3.3) – 30.3%
AWAY: 3/1 (4.0) – 25%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Mainz are big favourites to pick up their first home win of the season in the Bundesliga, and they are priced at 19/20 (1.95) with 51.3% chances of winning.
St Pauli have scored in five of their last six games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15, which means BTTS – Yes at 19/20 (1.95) with 51.3% chance of happening is appealing.
Mainz have been conceding first in seven of their last nine games, but given that St Pauli have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven, we predict a home victory.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Mainz 05 vs St Pauli predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz favourites
The two teams have faced each other four times in the Bundesliga, and Mainz have won each of those games.
Last season, they won 2-0 at home, and 3-0 away at St Pauli to complete the league double over their rivals.
Germany Bundesliga I 22/02/25
Mainz
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 05/10/24
St Pauli
Mainz
Mainz 05 preview: Can they pick up another win against St Pauli?
The home side are missing defender Maxim Leitsch, as well as midfielder Sota Kawasaki.
However, central defender Dominik Kohr is available to feature after he served a suspension due to a red card.
Predicted lineups: Batz, Da Costa, Bell, Kohr, Nordin, Maloney, Sano, Veratschnig, Amiri, Lee & Hollerbach
Last five matches:
- Mainz 2-0 Samsunspor
- Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz
- Lech Poznan 1-1 Mainz
- Mainz 0-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Freiburg 4-0 Mainz
St Pauli preview: Can they continue their impressive run?
St Pauli will still be without centre-back David Nemeth due to a groin problem.
Eric Smith will serve a one-match suspension this weekend after he was sent off in the previous game.
Predicted lineups: Vasilj, Wahl, Mets, Dzwigala, Pyrka, Fujita, Sands, Irvine, Oppie, Kaars & Lage
Last five matches:
- St Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim
- Koln 1-1 St Pauli
- Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 St Pauli
- Bayern Munich 3-1 St Pauli
- St Pauli 0-1 Union Berlin
Player to watch: Kaishu Sano
The 24-year-old central midfielder has been one of Mainz's most consistent players this season.
The Japanese player has made 14 Bundesliga starts this season, contributing two goals.
