Mainz 05 vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction, odds & betting tips 05/12/2025

Mainz 05's crucial relegation clash in the Bundesliga against visitors Borussia Monchengladbach on Friday will be their first game without boss Bo Henriksen in the dugout at Mewa Arena.

The hosts come into the match last in 18th place with just six points after 12 league fixtures, 13 fewer than at the same stage last season, whereas Gladbach are 12th with 13 points following their goalless stalemate with RB Leipzig on November 28.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction: Poor defence against revitalised attack

Key stats

• Mainz have failed to find the back of the net in half of their 12 Bundesliga games, the joint most in the division.
• Gladbach have scored at least three goals in three of their last four top-flight matches.
• The hosts have kept just three clean sheets in the 20 games they have played in 2025-26.

Correct score prediction: Mainz 05 0-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

Mainz's start to the campaign has been disastrous, and their inability to threaten opposition defences will almost certainly prove costly on Friday.

Borussia Monchengladbach's improved results of late have coincided with their increased ruthlessness in attack, and they should be confident that they can take three points.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz 05 predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 7/5 (2.4) – 41.7%

• DRAW: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%

• AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Mainz 05 are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 41.7%, but the bookmakers have given Borussia Monchengladbach a 36.4% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Mainz dominate this decade

Borussia Monchengladbach's last victory against their hosts came in October 2020, when they won 3-2 away from home, but they have since lost four and drawn five games against Mainz.

In 2024-25, the sides settled for a 1-1 stalemate at Mewa Arena in October 2024, before Mainz won 3-1 on the road in March.

Germany Bundesliga I 07/03/25

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 25/10/24

Mainz

1

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Germany Bundesliga I 02/03/24

Mainz

1

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Germany Bundesliga I 06/10/23

Borussia M'gladbach

2

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 24/02/23

Mainz

4

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Mainz 05 preview: Poor form heading into Sunday

Mainz 05's Under-23s coach Benjamin Hoffmann has been tasked with leading the side out on Friday, and he inherits a team that have lost five, drawn two and won just one of their last eight games.

Hoffmann will likely not have enough time to make many tactical changes, so Die Nullfunfer may still deploy the likes of Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell and Andreas Hanche-Olsen in a back three.

Predicted lineup: Riess (GK), Da Costa, Bell, Hanche-Olsen, Widmer, Sano, Amiri, Mwene, Nordin, Lee & Hollerbach

Last five results:

• Freiburg 4-0 Mainz 05
• Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Mainz 05
• Mainz 05 1-1 Hoffenheim
• Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05
• Mainz 05 2-1 Fiorentina

Borussia Monchengladbach preview: Hope for the 2025-26 season

Gladbach may have lost one and drawn one of their past two games, but they had triumphed in their prior four outings in all competitions, scoring 13 goals in those victories.

Franck Honorat could start in a supportive role next to centre-forward Haris Tabakovic, while Rocco Reitz is set to anchor midfield.

Predicted lineup: Nicolas (GK), Scally, Elvedi, Diks, Netz, Castrop, Reitz, Engelhardt, Neuhaus, Honorat & Tabakovic

Last five results:

• Borussia Monchengladbach 1- 2 St Pauli
• Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 RB Leipzig
• Heidenheim 0-3 Borussia Monchengladbach
• Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 FC Koln
• St Pauli 0- 4 Borussia Monchengladbach

Player to watch: Haris Tabakovic

Borussia Monchengladbach striker Haris Tabakovic has enjoyed an exceptional spell for club and country, registering 15 direct goal contributions this season.

The striker has scored eight goals and provided three assists in his last eight matches in all competitions, netting Gladbach's only goal when they lost 2-1 against St Pauli on Monday.