Luxembourg vs Germany prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/11/2025
Can Luxembourg resist Germany at home? - Photo by IMAGO / Maximilian Koch
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Germany to win & Over 5.5 total goals

The previous five H2Hs have averaged six goals per game.

Germany could take a giant leap towards the FIFA World Cup in 2026 when they take on Luxembourg in World Cup qualifying (WCQ) away from home on Friday night. They currently sit at the top of Group A with a total of nine points earned from their opening four qualifiers.

Meanwhile, Luxembourg cannot qualify for next year’s tournament as they sit bottom of the group after losing each of their four qualifiers so far. Thus, Germany should be firm favourites to get the job done here.

Luxembourg vs Germany prediction: No problems for Germans?

Key stats

  • Luxembourg are winless in seven games in total in all competitions, losing six.
  • Germany are on a three-match winning streak.
  • Germany have won the previous five H2Hs across all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Luxembourg 0-6 Germany

Germany should be expected to beat Luxembourg comfortably, it is just a matter of how many goals they could score. Judging by previous H2Hs, that could be a lot.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Germany giant favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 28/1 (29.00) – 3.4%
  • DRAW: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
  • AWAY: 1/14 (1.07) – 93.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Germany are unsurprisingly huge favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points away from home. Both a draw and a Luxembourg win on home soil are rated at under 10%.

Also, feel free to check out our best betting tips for more of our expert predictions around the other WCQ matches.

Most recent H2Hs: Germany boast perfect record

Germany have won the previous five meetings by an aggregate score of 27-3. Indeed, they should be heavy favourites to win comfortably in Luxembourg.

Luxembourg preview: Mahmutovic injured

Enes Mahmutovic is perhaps Luxembourg’s most notable absentee with injury, while Mica Pinto, Yvandro Borges and Vincent Thill are also unavailable. Dirk Carlson returns from suspension though after his red card against Germany earlier in qualifying.

Predicted lineup: Moris (GK); Jans, M. Martins, Korac, Carlson; Olesen; Sinani, C. Martins, Barreiro, Moreira & Dardari

Last five results:

  • Slovakia 2-0 Luxembourg
  • Germany 4-0 Luxembourg
  • Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia
  • Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland
  • Luxembourg 0-0 Republic of Ireland

Germany preview: Plenty of big names miss out

The likes of Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala continue to miss out through injury. Antonio Rudiger is among a number of other big names absent from the Germany squad.

Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK); Kimmich, Tah, Anton, Raum; Pavlovic, Goretzka; Gnabry, Wirtz, Adeyemi & Woltemade

Last five results:

  • Northern Ireland 0-1 Germany
  • Germany 4-0 Luxembourg
  • Germany 3-1 Northern Ireland
  • Slovakia 2-0 Germany
  • Germany 0-2 France

Player to watch: Florian Wirtz

Can Wirtz find his form against Luxembourg? – Photo by IMAGO / Fussball-News Saarland

Florian Wirtz has come under scrutiny for his underwhelming performances in a Liverpool shirt so far. However, he has the opportunity to put the criticism behind him and help lead Germany to another World Cup finals.

Wirtz has one goal to his name in WCQ so far, but no assists. He will be determined to up those numbers against relative minnows in Luxembourg.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.