Sparks will fly as Lugano welcome Thun to Cornaredo Stadium for their Swiss Super League opener on Sunday, 27 July 2025.
View our free Lugano vs Thun predictions below.
Contents
Lugano vs Thun predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Four consecutive meetings between these teams have featured goals at both ends.
- Over four goals were scored on average in Lugano's last five clashes with Thun.
- Thun are unbeaten in their last four trips to this stadium.
Correct score prediction: Lugano 2-2 Thun
Thun are currently on a four-match unbeaten run with three wins and a draw. This includes a 4-2 victory against Lugano in a friendly match at this stadium two weeks ago.
Although the visitors have only recently been promoted to the Swiss top flight, they have held their own against Lugano in the past, having not lost any of their last four visits to this stadium.
Keeping in mind that Lugano's last three competitive games ended in stalemates, we believe the spoils will be shared between these teams after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lugano are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Thun were promoted to the Super League after winning the Challenge League title last season, while Lugano were the fourth-best team in the Swiss top flight.
Ahead of this encounter, Lugano are the expected winners at 3/5 (1.60). Teams with these odds usually have a 62.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Lugano vs Thun predictions.
We have established that the last five skirmishes between these outfits saw over four goals scored on average. On that note, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 6/4 (2.50). That one has a 40% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First competitive clash in three years
The last time Lugano and Thun squared off against each other in a competitive fixture was in February 2022 in the Schweizer Cup, and their last Super League clash took place in July 2020.
However, both teams met in a friendly game just two weeks ago, with Thun winning 4-2 on the road.
Europe Friendlies 11/07/25
Lugano
FC Thun
Switzerland Cup 10/02/22
FC Thun
Lugano
Switzerland Super League 15/07/20
Lugano
FC Thun
Switzerland Super League 09/02/20
FC Thun
Lugano
Switzerland Super League 24/11/19
FC Thun
Lugano
Lugano preview: Behrens to make his debut?
Under the guidance of coach Mattia Croci-Torti, Lugano enter this match following a goalless draw against CFR Cluj in a UEFA Europa League qualifying game, extending their unbeaten run to three matches.
Although the hosts have one eye on next week's second leg, kicking off the 2025-26 Swiss Super League season at home in winning fashion is something the club will hold in great importance, as it will put them in high spirits ahead of their trip to Romania.
Lugano signed a handful of new players ahead of the new season, but most of them are not expected to be named in the starting XI this weekend. However, Kelvin Behrens and Ezgjan Alioski, both of whom just teamed up with Croci-Torti’s team, are expected to make their league debut at some point this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Saipi (GK), Wafi, Mai, Papadopoulos, Zanotti, Grgic, Steffen, Bislimi, Correia, Alioski & Kousias.
Switzerland Super League 10/05/25
L
Basel
5
Lugano
2
Switzerland Super League 04/05/25
W
Lucerne
0
Lugano
2
Switzerland Super League 21/04/25
L
Lausanne Sports
2
Lugano
0
Switzerland Super League 13/04/25
D
St Gallen
1
Lugano
1
Switzerland Super League 06/04/25
L
Basel
2
Lugano
0
Thun preview: A clean bill of health
Thun have no injured or suspended players ahead of this weekend's encounter.
Coach Mauro Lustrinelli consistently deployed a 4-4-2 formation in his preseason test games, with Christopher Ibayi and Elmin Rastoder as the target men upfront. The 49-year-old gaffer is expected to field a similar starting XI to the one that defeated Lugano two weeks ago.
Predicted lineup: Steffen (GK), Fehr, Bamert, Montolio, Heule, Reichmuth, Bertone, Kait, Meichtry, Ibayi & Rastoder.
Europe Friendlies 19/07/25
W
Aarau
1
FC Thun
4
Europe Friendlies 11/07/25
W
Lugano
2
FC Thun
4
Europe Friendlies 04/07/25
D
FC Sion
1
FC Thun
1
Club Friendly List 27/06/25
W
Young Boys
1
FC Thun
2
Europe Friendlies 21/06/25
L
Kriens
4
FC Thun
3
Player to watch: Elmin Rastoder
Elmin Rastoder is in high spirits after scoring three goals in his last three appearances for Thun. The former Vaduz forward will look to continue his fine form when these teams clash this weekend.