These two teams played out an epic first leg in Switzerland last week and we are no closer to finding out who will qualify for the Europa League proper with the teams tied at 3-3 heading into Thursday's clash.
Besiktas have the home advantage this time and head into the second leg as the bookmakers pick to win but Lugano are a dangerous side and cannot be taken lightly.
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Besiktas vs Lugano prediction: Another goals-filled game?
Key Stats
- Besiktas have scored in each of their last six matches.
- Lugano have scored in each of their last six matches.
- Over 3.5 goals have been produced in three of the hosts' last four outings.
- Five of Lugano's last six fixtures have witnessed at least four goals.
Correct score prediction: Besiktas 3-1 Lugano
Thursday's host shave scored at least three goals in three of their last four matches and with Lugano scoring in all of their last six outings, we're backing a 3-1 win for Besiktas on Thursday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas backed by the bookmakers
- HOME: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%
- DRAW: 41/10 (5.10) – 19.6%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Besiktas are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 67.7%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging
These two teams have met three times in total and there is nothing to separate the pair as each has picked up one win, one draw and one defeat.
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 22/08/24
Lugano
Besiktas
UEFA Conference League 14/12/23
Lugano
Besiktas
UEFA Conference League 05/10/23
Besiktas
Lugano
Besiktas preview: Disappointed not to be in front
Besiktas will have been disappointed not to have come away from last week's first leg in Switzerland with a lead.
The Turkish side found themselves 3-1 up 10 minutes into the second half thanks to a brace from Gedson Fernandes and one goal from Al Musrati.
However, Lugano were allowed to score two goals of their own just a few minutes later and the match ended in a 3-3 draw.
Predicted lineup: Gunok (GK), Paulista, Svensson, Masuaku, Topcu, Rafa, Rashica, Musrati, Fernandes, Ndour & Immobile
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 11/05/25
W
Adana Demirspor
1
Besiktas
4
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 04/05/25
W
Fenerbahce
0
Besiktas
1
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 25/04/25
W
Hatayspor
1
Besiktas
5
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 19/04/25
D
Goztepe
1
Besiktas
1
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 12/04/25
L
Istanbul Basaksehir
2
Besiktas
0
Lugano preview: An excellent comeback
Lugano had to work hard to keep themselves in this tie after going behind twice in their own backyard.
Uran Bislimi scored the hosts' first equaliser in the 34th minute and a second-half goal from Renato Steffen made it 3-2 before an own goal from Gabriel Paulista in the 63rd minute made the final scoreline 3-3.
Predicted lineup: Saipi (GK), Valenzuela, Papadopoulos, Zanotti, El Wafi, Steffen, Doumbia, Bislimi, Mahmoud, Aliseda & Vladi
Switzerland Super League 10/05/25
L
Basel
5
Lugano
2
Switzerland Super League 04/05/25
W
Lucerne
0
Lugano
2
Switzerland Super League 21/04/25
L
Lausanne Sports
2
Lugano
0
Switzerland Super League 13/04/25
D
St Gallen
1
Lugano
1
Switzerland Super League 06/04/25
L
Basel
2
Lugano
0
Player to watch – Rafa Silva
Besiktas' new 31-year-old signing from Benfica has already made a strong start to his career in Turkey and we're backing Rafa Silva to impress on Thursday night.
Rafa, as he is more commonly known, has scored twice in Besiktas' opening two league games, picking up where he left off with Benfica last season where he scored 14 times in all competitions.
Besiktas's new recruit has made a great start to his career in Turkey
Rafa, who can play anywhere across the front and in midfield, brings another level of goals and creativity to this Besiktas side and we're excited to see how he performs on Thursday.