Lorient vs Nice prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/03/2026
Olivier Pantaloni arrives at the dugout - photo by IMAGO / PsnewZ
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Under 10.5 corners

Four of the last five meetings between the two sides have produced fewer than 11 corners.

Lorient welcome Nice to the Stade du Moustoir in Brittany on Wednesday, with a place in the Coupe de France semi-finals at stake.

View our Lorient vs Nice predictions below.

Lorient vs Nice preview: Goals expected

Key stats

  • Nice are winless in their last four games.
  • Lorient have lost only once in their last 16 matches.
  • Six of the last seven meetings between these sides have produced fewer than 4.5 cards.

Correct score prediction: Lorient 2-1 Nice

Lorient sit 10th in Ligue 1 with 33 points from 24 matches and are unbeaten in their last three games. They head into this fixture on the back of a 2-2 draw against Auxerre and have not lost a home match since October.

Olivier Pantaloni's side defeated Paris FC 2-0 in the previous round of the Coupe de France. However, they have failed to keep a clean sheet against Nice in their last seven meetings.

Nice are winless in their last six Ligue 1 matches, and have not kept a clean sheet in their previous three outings.

Five of the last seven meetings between the two sides have produced over 2.5 goals, and Lorient should have enough quality to win this tie.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lorient backed to win

  • HOME: 11/10 (2.1) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.3) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.0) – 33.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The newly promoted side are playing in their first Coupe de France quarter-final in ten years and have been in impressive form since November.

Ahead of this fixture, Lorient are the expected winners at 11/10 (2.1), implying a 47.6% chance of victory.

Nice have conceded first in five of their last seven matches, while the home side are priced at 4/5 (1.8) to score first, representing a 55.6% probability.

Both teams have scored in six of their recent meetings, making BTTS – Yes at 8/11 (1.73) an appealing option.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Lorient vs Nice predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Lorient impressive at home

Lorient won 3-1 at home and drew 3-3 away against Nice in the 2025-26 campaign. They are also unbeaten in four of their previous five home meetings with Nice.

France Ligue 1 22/02/26

Nice

Nice

3
Lorient

Lorient

3

France Ligue 1 30/11/25

Lorient

Lorient

3
Nice

Nice

1

France Ligue 1 19/04/24

Nice

Nice

3
Lorient

Lorient

0

France Ligue 1 20/08/23

Lorient

Lorient

1
Nice

Nice

1

France Ligue 1 19/03/23

Nice

Nice

1
Lorient

Lorient

1

Lorient preview: Riding high on momentum

After making a disastrous start to the 2025–26 campaign, many believed Lorient were simply not good enough for this level.

Having managed only two wins in their opening 13 matches, they struggled early on, but gradually grew in confidence and are now riding a wave of momentum.

A top-ten finish is certainly achievable, and even a European spot cannot be ruled out. Reaching the Coupe de France semi-finals, or progressing even further, would be the icing on the cake for them.

Predicted lineup: Mvogo (GK), Silva, Talbi, Meite, Le Bris, Karim, Cadiou, Avom, Pagis, Makengo & Dieng

Last five matches

  • 01/03/26: Lorient 2-2 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
  • 22/02/26: Nice 3-3 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 15/02/26: Lorient 2-0 Angers (Ligue 1)
  • 07/02/26: Brest 2-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 04/02/26: Lorient 2-0 Paris FC (Coupe de France)

Nice preview: Need to arrest the decline

After losing nine consecutive matches between November and mid-December, Nice have done reasonably well to move clear of the danger zone, as they currently sit 15th in the table with 24 points from 24 matches.

However, with no league wins since February, they need a strong result to rebuild confidence. Cup fixtures are often unpredictable, and a victory here to secure a place in the semi-finals would provide a significant boost.

Predicted lineup: Dupe (GK), Clauss, Oppong, Dante, Abdi, Sanson, Vanhoutte, Cho, Boudache, Ndombele & Carlos

Last five matches

  • 01/03/26: Paris FC 1-0 Nice (Ligue 1)
  • 22/02/26: Nice 3-3 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 15/02/26: Lyon 2-0 Nice (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: Nice 0-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
  • 04/02/26: Nice 3-2 Montpellier (Coupe de France)

Player to watch: Pablo Pagis

The French attacking midfielder has been in impressive form for Lorient this season and has played a key role in the club's resurgence.

The 23-year-old mainly loved to operate behind the striker, and has scored eight goals in all competitions so far.

Lorient vs Nice
Pablo Pagis in action for Lorient – photo by IMAGO / PsnewZ

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.