Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction, odds & betting tips 04/05/2025
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Chelsea to win (+1 handicap)

Liverpool have only won one of their last seven matches by two goals or more.

Chelsea will welcome Liverpool to Stamford Bridge on Sunday, 4 May, in a match that now means far more to the hosts than it does the visitors.

Liverpool wrapped up the Premier League title last weekend, and their players have more than likely been celebrating all week.

This could open up a window of opportunity for Chelsea to exploit on Sunday afternoon as they look to secure a top-five finish in the Premier League.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction below.

Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction: The hosts to avoid defeat

Key Stats

  • Chelsea haven't lost by two or more goals in any of their last 14 matches in all competitions.
  • Liverpool have lost two of their last three matches away from Anfield.
  • Six of the last eight matches between Chelsea and Liverpool have produced fewer than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool

Chelsea have far more incentive to turn up and play well on Sunday, and there is every chance that Liverpool will be well below their usual standards after celebrating their title triumph all week. Draws in this fixture are relatively common, with five of the last seven clashes finishing all square after 90 minutes.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea start as favourites

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Chelsea vs Liverpool odds illustrate how even this game should be. While Liverpool are the better team, circumstances have certainly balanced the scales. Ladbrokes have made the Blues the slight favourites and have given them a 46.5% chance of victory, while Liverpool have been given a 32.3% chance of winning.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Liverpool

Liverpool have a good recent record against Chelsea, and the Reds are now unbeaten in their last ten matches against the Blues. Within that ten-game stretch, Liverpool have beaten Chelsea in three separate cup finals, all of which went to at least extra time.

TEST Fixtures 06/02/25

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

0

England Premier League 20/10/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England EFL Cup 25/02/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 31/01/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

4
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 13/08/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea preview: A lengthy absentee list

After playing in Europe on Thursday night, Enzo Maresca has some vital decisions to make in relation to rotation. He also has a lengthy list of absentees with Robert Sanchez and Christopher Nkunku joining Wesley Fofana, Marc Guiu, Aaron Anselmino and Omari Kellyman in the treatment room.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella, Fernandez, Caicedo, Madueke, Palmer, Neto, Jackson

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Liverpool preview: Young full-back to return to the fold

Liverpool have been blessed with very few injuries throughout the campaign, and they have a near-complete squad for this one. In a further boost to their ranks, Conor Bradley is set to return to the squad after coming back from injury. Joe Gomez remains unavailable and is unlikely to play again this season.

Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Van Dijk, Tsimikas, Jones, Gravenberch, Elliott, Salah, Gakpo, Diaz

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 27/04/25

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

5

England Premier League 20/04/25

W

Leicester

Leicester

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Player to watch: Mo Salah

Mo Salah
Photo by Imago

As someone who doesn't drink alcohol, Mo Salah is one of only a few players in the Liverpool squad on Sunday who should be as sharp as ever. That spells danger for Chelsea, particularly as Salah still has some personal targets to accomplish before the end of the season.

The Egyptian needs two more goals this season to set a new record for the most goals scored by a player over the age of 30 in the Premier League in a single campaign.

epl predictions today

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.