Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/02/2024

Chelsea
25/02/24 - 15:00

Finished

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Liverpool

Chelsea - Liverpool

England EFL Cup - Wembley Stadium

1st Round

Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction
Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister and Chelsea's Conor Gallagher (left) battle for the ball  – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our predictions for the EFL Cup Final between Chelsea and Liverpool. Nobody has won this competition more times than Liverpool and it is the Reds that head into Sunday's final as the bookmakers' pick to lift the trophy for a record-setting tenth occasion.

Chelsea vs Liverpool predictions: Liverpool to edge out Chelsea

Chelsea vs Liverpool Predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot Tip

Liverpool to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool

⚽ Both Teams to Score prediction

BTTS

Chelsea demolished Championship side Middlesbrough over two legs in the Semi-Final, running out 6-2 winners, while Liverpool just did enough to get past Fulham 3-2 on aggregate.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite

  • HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea head into the final on the back of a 1-1 draw at the Edithad but the Blues will have been disappointed not to have won the game, while Liverpool made it three wins on the run as they beat Luton 4-1 at Anfield.

Last five H2Hs: Reds unbeaten in eight against Chelsea

Others 20/02/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

0

England Premier League 31/01/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

4
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Others 22/11/23

Liverpool

Liverpool

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 13/08/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Others 23/06/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

0

Liverpool have picked up three wins from their last six meetings with Chelsea, last losing against the Londoners in 2021. When these two sides locked horns in January for their Premier League clash at Anfield, Liverpool secured a comfortable 4-1 victory.

Team news and form guide

Chelsea: Lost two of their last five matches

Chelsea have a number of injury concerns ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup Final. Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Benoit Badiashile, Romeo Lavia, Marc Cucurella, Thiago Silva, Carney Chukwuemeka, Robert Sanchez and Lesley Ugochukwu could all miss the big game.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Chilwell, Disasi, Gusto, Colwill, Gallagher, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Liverpool: Five wins from last six outings

Liverpool are not without a long injury list of their own with the likes of Joel Matip, Diogo Jota, Alisson Becker, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dominik Szoboszlai, Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Thiago Alcantara, Curtis Jones and Stefan Bajcetic possibly missing the final due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Kelleher (GK), van Dijk, Robertson, Konaté, Bradley, Endo, Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Elliott, Gakpo & Díaz

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Others 14/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

England Premier League 13/05/24

D

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

4

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

West Ham

West Ham

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Our free expert picks: Jurgen Klopp to claim silverware in final season

Liverpool are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 44.4%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this one. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

You can back Cody Gakpo to score in the final at 29/10 (3.90) which has a probability of 25.6%, or you could go with Chelsea's Cole Palmer to score at the very same price and probability.

Hot tip – Liverpool to Win

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last eight meetings with Chelsea, running out 4-1 winners when the pair last met.
  • Liverpool have won five of their last six matches in all competitions.

Other tips

Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool

  • Liverpool haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last six matches.
  • Liverpool have scored 21 goals in their last six matches.

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in each of Liverpool's last six outings.
  • Each of Chelsea's last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
Cody Gakpo player to watch
Liverpool's Cody Gakpo celebrates scoring their side's second goal of the game  – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Cody Gakpo

Cody Gakpo has shinned for Liverpool in the EFL Cup this season, scoring four goals on the team's way to the final. Only Middlesbrough's Morgan Rogers has scored more goals than Gakpo in the League Cup this season, but the Liverpool forward only needs one more to equal Rogers' total of five.

Only Morgan Rogers has scored more EFL Cup goals this season

Gakpo hasn't done as well as most Liverpool fans would have wanted from the Dutch international but his performances in the EFL Cup cannot be questioned and could lead Jurgen Klopp to his first silverware in his final season with the club.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things