Poland are still very much in the mix to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup as they prepare to travel to Kaunas to face Lithuania on Sunday night. Indeed, there are only three points that separate them, the Netherlands and Finland in Group G.
Meanwhile, Lithuania can no longer qualify for the finals next year, and so are just playing for pride at the moment. Nonetheless, they will still want to make a good account of themselves on home soil.
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Lithuania vs Poland prediction: Poles to pick up big three points?
Key stats
- Lithuania have not won a game in any competition since June 2024.
- Poland have won five of their last seven matches in total in all competitions.
- Poland are unbeaten in four previous H2Hs across all competitions, winning three of them.
Correct score prediction: Lithuania 1-2 Poland
With Lithuania not having too much to play for, Poland will fancy themselves to go there and get the job done. The hosts have scored in each of their last three qualifiers though, so it will not be easy for the Poles.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Poland favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Poland are the favourites with bookmakers to take home what would feel like a crucial three points here. A draw can be backed at just under 24%, while a Lithuania victory on home soil is rated at just under 12%.
Also, feel free to check out our Football Betting Tips Today page to engage with more of our predictions for the other World Cup qualifiers taking place.
Most recent H2Hs: Poland aiming to extend unbeaten run
As mentioned before, Poland are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the two sides in total in all competitions. They won the previous qualifier 1-0 against Lithuania on home soil.
International Match 12/06/18
Poland
Lithuania
International Match 06/06/16
Poland
Lithuania
International Match 06/06/14
Poland
Lithuania
Lithuania preview: Dolznikov suspended
Artur Dolznikov will have to serve a suspension after picking up one too many bookings against Finland last time out. Lithuania have reported no fresh injury concerns in their squad.
Predicted lineup: Gertmonas (GK); Sirvys, Upstas, Girdvainis, Armalas, Lasickas; Sirgedas, Vorobjovas, Gineitis, Cernych & Paulauskas
Last five results:
- Finland 2-1 Lithuania
- Lithuania 2-3 Netherlands
- Lithuania 1-1 Malta
- Denmark 5-0 Lithuania
- Malta 0-0 Lithuania
Poland preview: Notable absentees in squad
Sebastien Walukiewicz, Adam Buksa and Nicola Zalewski, all of whom play their club football in Italy, are all absent from the squad. Poland have reported no fresh injury concerns though.
Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK); Cash, Wisniewski, Bednarek, Kiwior; Szymanski, Zielinski, Slisz, Kaminski; Swiderski & Lewandowski
Last five results:
- Poland 1-0 New Zealand
- Poland 3-1 Finland
- Netherlands 1-1 Poland
- Finland 2-1 Poland
- Poland 2-0 Moldova
Player to watch: Piotr Zielinski
Piotr Zielinski scored the only goal of the game as Poland beat New Zealand 1-0 in a friendly last time out. The Poles will want him to step up with more goals for his country, as they will be wary of being too over-reliant on the albeit brilliant Robert Lewandowski in the latter stage of his career.