Three points will be up for grabs as Marseille and Lens draw swords at Orange Velodrome on Saturday, 8 March 2025. View our free Marseille vs Lens predictions below.
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Marseille vs Lens predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils
Key stats
- Lens are currently on a four-match losing streak.
- In contrast, Marseille won four of their last five games.
- At least one team failed to score in four of Marseille's last six matches.
- Marseille won the last two encounters between these outfits.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-0 Lens
These teams are on opposite sides when it comes to recent form. While Lens have lost four matches in a row, Marseille won four of their last five games. Interestingly, two of Marseille's last three wins, and two of Lens' last four defeats were by two unanswered goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille are expected winners
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Despite having a two-goal lead in the first 20 minutes, Lens eventually suffered a heartbreaking 4-3 defeat at home to Le Havre last weekend. Will Still's men have now lost four matches in a row, conceding 11 times in the process.
Marseille, on the other hand, are a force to be reckoned with at home. They are unbeaten in their last seven Ligue 1 games at Orange Velodrome (W5, D2). In fact, Roberto De Zerbi's troops have lost only twice in 12 Ligue 1 home games this campaign.
As it stands, Marseille are second in the French top flight ahead of their encounter with ninth-placed Lens.
Given Lens’ recent struggles, it is unsurprising that Marseille are the expected winners at 4/7 (1.57). Teams with these odds usually have a 63.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Marseille vs Lens predictions.
Moreover, at least one team failed to score in four of both teams' last six respective matches. On that note, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
Both teams have three wins apiece in the last six skirmishes between Marseille and Lens. However, Marseille came out on top the last two times these teams squared off against each other.
France Ligue 1 23/11/24
Lens
Marseille
France Ligue 1 28/04/24
Marseille
Lens
France Ligue 1 12/11/23
Lens
Marseille
France Ligue 1 06/05/23
Lens
Marseille
France Ligue 1 22/10/22
Marseille
Lens
Marseille preview: Eyeing their fourth consecutive home win
Centre-back Derek Cornelis is unavailable for Marseille this weekend due to suspension. Long-term injury absentees Ruben Blanco, Chancel Mbemba and Faris Moumbagna are also ruled out, while Michael Murillo's participation remains questionable.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Rongier, Balerdi, Kondogbia, Henrique, Bennacer, Hojbjerg, Merlin, Rabiot, Greenwood & Gouiri.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Le Havre
1
Marseille
3
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
D
Lille
1
Marseille
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Brest
1
Marseille
4
France Ligue 1 19/04/25
W
Montpellier
1
Marseille
5
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Monaco
3
Marseille
0
Lens preview: A long list of absentees
Lens have several suspensions as they travel to Marseille this weekend with M’Bala Nzola (red), Angelo Fulgini (yellow), Facundo Medina (yellow), and Adrien Thomasson (yellow).
Forwards Martin Satriano and Remy Labeau Lascary are sidelined for this game due to injuries alongside defender Jhoanner Chavez.
Predicted lineup: Ryan; Gradit, Sarr, Medina, Aguilar, El Aynaoui, Diouf, Deiver Machado, Sotoca, Said & Zaroury.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Toulouse
1
Lens
1
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
W
Lyon
1
Lens
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
L
Auxerre
4
Lens
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Brest
1
Lens
3
France Ligue 1 11/04/25
L
Reims
2
Lens
0
Player to watch: Mason Greenwood
With 15 goals and three assists in 24 league assignments, only one player has had more direct goal involvements than Mason Greenwood in the French top flight this season. The former Manchester United player will look to score in back-to-back games for the first time this year.