We look ahead to a key Premier League fixture at both ends of the table with our Newcastle United vs Leicester City prediction and preview here at Football Whispers.
Newcastle United vs Leicester City: Quick Stats
- Newcastle are heavy favourites to secure a vital three points priced at 4/11.
- Leicester have conceded 41 away league goals in the 2022-23 season to date, the most they’ve shipped since 1914-15 in a 38-game campaign.
- Newcastle beat Leicester at the King Power Stadium 3-0 in the reverse fixture back in December.
After Leicester City’s 3-0 home defeat to Liverpool last time out, the Foxes hunt for Premier League survival could be all but over by Monday evening. Sitting on 30 points with two games left, Nigel Pearson’s deflated team desperately need the three points in order to potentially take their survival chances to the final day.
At the other end of the table, Newcastle United are looking to finish in the top four and secure Champions League football for the first time since the 2002/03 campaign.
Occupying third place before the weekend fixtures kick-off, it’s in Eddie Howe’s hands and a home match against a Leicester side which hasn’t won an away match since February could be the perfect opponent to pick off.
But the Premier League can often spring a surprise or two and with Leicester fighting for their lives, and with Newcastle stumbling in recent weeks to both Arsenal and Leeds, it isn’t a given the Magpies will walk away with all three points.
However, before that 2-0 defeat to the hands of Arsenal, Newcastle had won their last four home matches, scoring three against Southampton, battering Spurs for six as well as a comfortable 2-0 win over top-four rivals Manchester United and in midweek, they easily defeated Brighton at St James' Park.
Howe’s side are a very short price at 4/11 to come out on top on Monday evening, but adding in over 2.5 goals boosts the price to around the evens mark.
Newcastle United: Callum Wilson
After keeping his cool from the penalty spot (twice) against Leeds, Callum Wilson continues to prove why he is one of the best strikers in the Premier League. Having fired in three braces in recent weeks against Leeds, Southampton and Everton, Leicester’s leaky defence will have to find a way in which to stop him.
However, having conceded ten goals in their last three matches, it almost feels inevitable Newcastle’s in-form striker will add to his already impressive tally, which he added to in midweek when the Magpies thrashed Brighton. You can back Wilson to open the scoring at 10/3, while the England international is 9/2 to score another brace.
Leicester City: Harvey Barnes
Despite Leicester’s fall from grace and with the Championship staring them in the face, Harvey Barnes has been a shining light for the Foxes. Despite the team putting in a dismal display at Craven Cottage two weeks ago, Barnes managed a brace of his own late on. With 12 goals to his name in the Premier League, he’s clearly the player Leicester are relying on for their very own great escape.
Now that's a cool finish, Harvey 😎 pic.twitter.com/bt0MqBP4KU
— Leicester City (@LCFC) February 12, 2023
He’s priced at 14/1 to be the last goalscorer once again, but with Leicester fighting for their lives and with Barnes continuing to prove his worth in front of goal, backing him to score anytime at 5/1 may be a more reasonable bet on Monday night.
As we’ve alluded to already, Leicester have been struggling of late to save their Premier League status. Since winning against Wolves at the King Power in April, Dean Smith’s side have failed to win their last four, which included a 3-0 drumming to Liverpool as well as a 5-3 defeat in the capital to Fulham.
Having conceded 12 goals in the last five, Newcastle will be hoping to add to that number on Monday evening.
GETTTT INNNNNN 🖤🤍 pic.twitter.com/cRaXC5sv21
— Callum Wilson (@CallumWilson) May 19, 2023
Newcastle moved to within touching distance of Champions League football in midweek when they recorded a 4-1 home win against Brighton, one of the Magpies' best performances of the season in the moment they really needed it. We expect Newcastle to head into this game full of confidence and that can only be a bad thing for Leicester City.
With Newcastle only drawing a blank once in their last five, it’s expected the top four challengers will be backfiring against Leicester who are leaking goals left, right and centre at present.
The last time these two sides met was back in January when Newcastle ran out 2-0 comfortable winners in the EFL Cup quarter-finals. On that occasion, Dan Burn opened the scoring on the hour mark, before Joelinton sealed Newcastle’s semi-final spot with 20 minutes left on the clock.
Despite a few changes to Leicester’s side, they only managed one shot on target all evening which came in the first half and they’ll need to be far more attacking in the final third on Monday evening.
Here's the recent H2H record between these two clubs,
England Premier League 20/05/23
England EFL Cup 10/01/23
England Premier League 26/12/22
England Premier League 17/04/22
England Premier League 12/12/21
Newcastle United v Leicester City Prediction
Newcastle’s home form has been one of the best in the Premier League, while Leicester’s away form has taken a turn in recent weeks which bodes well for the home side here.
Despite Howe’s side dropping a few points of late, with so much on the line, and having beaten Leicester twice this season without reply, it’s expected that Newcastle will claim all three points on Monday evening.
As we’ve stated, Newcastle are a very skinny price at 4/11, but with both teams fighting at both ends of the table we are anticipating plenty of action and adding over 2.5 goals to a home win makes for a nice evens bet at St James’ Park.