Relegation-threatened Leganes travel to the Ceramica on Wednesday night. Our Villarreal vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can spring a surprise and do serious damage to the home team’s Champions League hopes.
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Villarreal vs Leganes prediction: Raba to impress, but hosts to edge it
Key stats
- Our Villarreal vs Leganes betting tips take into account that the visitors have only lost one of their last six games in La Liga, and that was a single-goal defeat to Barcelona.
- Villarreal have won their last three matches to close in on a top-five finish.
- Only 29% of their home games have ended with Marcelino’s side winning by more than one goal.
Correct score prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Leganes
Leganes are making a real fight of their bid to stay in the top flight, and head into this game unbeaten in four matches.
They’ve produced some good performances this season against the stronger teams, beating both Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, so Villarreal cannot afford to take them lightly here. However, Marcelino’s side are looking strong and they should still edge this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Villarreal vs Leganes odds, with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.
They head into this game after a 1-0 win at Girona at the weekend, with youngster Karl Etta Eyong grabbing a late winner.
There were also three priceless points for Leganes on Sunday, as they defeated Espanyol 3-2 at Butarque.
For more from the upcoming action around Europe, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Yellow Submarine dominant
Our Villarreal vs Leganes prediction suggests the Yellow Submarine will be capable of extending a strong recent record in this fixture, by winning for the seventh time in eight meetings.
Leganes have lost 2-1 on four of their last five visits to this ground, but they were winners by the same margin on their most recent trip to Villarreal in 2020.
Spain La Liga 22/12/24
Leganes
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 08/03/20
Villarreal
Leganes
Spain La Liga 14/09/19
Leganes
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 21/04/19
Villarreal
Leganes
Spain La Liga 16/09/18
Leganes
Villarreal
Villarreal preview: Injury concerns for Marcelino
The home team are missing Ilias Akhomach to a long-term injury, while they also have doubts over Raul Albiol, Thierno Barry and Kiko Femenia.
Predicted Lineup: Junior (GK), Pedraza, Costa, Foyth, Navarro, Baena, Parejo, Gueye, Yeremi, A. Perez & Pepe
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Girona 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Osasuna 2 Villarreal 4 Spain La Liga 27/04/25 W Espanyol 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 L Celta Vigo 3 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 D Real Sociedad 2 Villarreal 2
Leganes preview: No fresh issues for Jimenez
Borna Barisic and Enric Franquesa both remain sidelined with long-term issues for the away team, but they should be at full strength aside from that.
Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Saenz, Tapia, Rosier, J. Hernandez, Neyou, Cisse, Altimira, Diomande, Raba & Munir
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Espanyol 2 Leganes 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Sevilla 2 Leganes 2 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 D Girona 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Mallorca 0 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Leganes 0 
Player to watch – Dani Raba
The main attacking threat from the visitors is likely to come from Dani Raba. The 29-year-old set up two goals at the weekend, and is now on seven goals and six assists in La Liga this term.
Raba carrying his team’s attack
The Leganes frontman is averaging 1.2 shots, 1.6 key passes and 1.4 dribbles per game in the Spanish top flight, more than any of his teammates have managed in each case.