athletic club vs leganes prediction
Leganes upset Atleti in a derby last time out - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Leganes to win (+2 handicap)

Leganes have only lost two of their 10 away league games by more than a single goal.

Leganes travel to San Mames this weekend. Our Athletic Club vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the Basques can continue their strong push for a top four finish.

Athletic Club vs Leganes prediction: Both teams to score in narrow home win

Key stats

  • Our Athletic Club vs Leganes betting tips take into account that 70% of Leganes away games in La Liga have seen both teams score.
  • Athletic have won six of their last seven in the league, but only one of those wins was by a margin bigger than a single goal.
  • 60% of La Liga matches at San Mames this term have seen both teams score.

Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 2-1 Leganes

Athletic have made a slightly shaky start to 2025 overall, with some poor performances in the cups. They are normally very strong at home, but Leganes are playing well enough to suggest they can compete.

The visitors have beaten Atletico Madrid and Barcelona over the past two months, but those are their only wins in their last seven games in La Liga. They still have some obvious limitations and may fall just short here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Leganes odds with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.

Los Leones head into it following a poor 4-1 loss at Besiktas in the Europa League, with Unai Gomez on target for the Basques.

As for Leganes, they’ll take confidence into this game after stunning Atleti 1-0 last time out, with Matija Nastasic the scorer.

For more from the latest action in Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Four wins in six for Athletic

Our Athletic Club vs Leganes prediction suggests Ernesto Valverde’s team can complete the double over their Madrid-based opponents, and make it five wins from seven meetings overall.

Leganes picked up their first ever league victory at San Mames on their most recent visit in 2020.

Spain La Liga 19/09/24

Leganes

Leganes

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain La Liga 16/07/20

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Leganes

Leganes

2

Spain La Liga 25/09/19

Leganes

Leganes

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 24/04/19

Leganes

Leganes

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 20/08/18

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2
Leganes

Leganes

1

Athletic Club preview: Sancet available again

The hosts have midfielder Oihan Sancet available for selection following injury. Alvaro Djalo and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta have been ruled out though.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Boiro, Vivian, Yeray, Gorosabel, Prados, Jauregizar, N. Williams, U. Gomez, I. Williams & Berenguer

Spain La Liga 08/02/25

W

Girona

Girona

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Spain La Liga 02/02/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

W

Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria Plzen

1

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Spain La Liga 26/01/25

D

Leganes

Leganes

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

UEFA Europa League 22/01/25

L

Besiktas

Besiktas

4

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Leganes preview: Tapia rated doubtful

The visitors have a doubt over Renato Tapia. They’ll also definitely be missing long-term absentee Enric Franquesa.

Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), J. Hernandez, Nastasic, Tapia, Sergio, Rosier, Cruz, Cisse, Neyou, Raba & De la Fuente

Spain La Liga 09/02/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

2

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain Copa del Rey 05/02/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Leganes

Leganes

2

Spain La Liga 31/01/25

L

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 26/01/25

D

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 18/01/25

W

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Leganes

Leganes

1

Player to watch – Inaki Williams

Valverde opted to rest the older of the Williams brothers in midweek. That strongly suggests he will return to the starting lineup here, with Inaki hoping to add to his tally of eight goals in 28 matches in all competitions this term.

athletic club vs leganes predictions
Inaki Williams is closing in on double figures for goals in all competitions – Photo by IMAGO.

Inaki striking midway through the second half

The Ghana international has often come alive in the middle of the second half. 50% of his goals this term in all competitions have come between the 61st and 75th minutes.

spanish league predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.