This weekend’s Premier League fixture at Elland Road between Leeds United and Nottingham Forest has huge implications for the relegation battle.
Both sides enjoy a six-point cushion from the bottom three, while they sit 16th and 17th respectively on the league table.
With only 14 games left to play, including this one, the result can go a long way in determining which side of the drop zone these clubs finish.
Explore our Leeds vs Nottingham Forest betting tips below.
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Leeds vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Tough to separate
Key stats
- Leeds have lost only one game at home this term to teams outside the top three.
- Forest are on a four-game unbeaten run.
- Eight of the hosts’ last 10 games produced more than two goals.
- Eight of Forest’s away goals this season arrived after the restart.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Leeds put together an excellent run in December up until last weekend, when they were humbled 4-0 by Arsenal. However, that type of form has boosted confidence in Daniel Farke and his ability to keep them from the drop, and it is their home form that has come through for them. Sean Dyche was also on the verge of facing the sack, but his team have also seen an uptick in results, which has him in the safe zone for now. Forest are in great form, but only four wins in 12 away dates suggest that a draw may be the best outcome for them here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Elland Road to be the difference
- HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
According to Ladbrokes, Leeds have a better chance of winning this game than any of the other outcomes at 45.5%, while the visitors are not that far off with a 31.3% possibility of securing maximum points here. A stalemate is the least likely outcome according to the bookmaker, but not by much, as, according to the odds, a draw has a 30.3% chance of happening.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: Visitors with a nose in front
The Tricky Trees won the reverse fixture that they hosted at the City Ground, which was part of an eight-game sequence that saw the visitors win four, lose one and draw three. However, their visits to Elland Road have proven tricky in the past. Leeds won twice, while there were three stalemates in their last five home head-to-heads. Forest’s last win at this ground came 10 years ago, exactly to the day that this game will kick off.
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Leeds preview: Nmecha to miss out
Lukas Nmecha was not on the bench for Leeds’ match against Arsenal last week, although he was an unused substitute the week before against Everton. It remains to be seen if he becomes available for Nottingham Forest. However, Brenden Aaronson certainly will be, and the home faithful will look to him for goals, as he has opened the scoring in his last six appearances for the club, in which he has scored.
Predicted lineup: Darlow; Justin, Rodon, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson; Stach, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin
Last five matches
- Leeds 0-4 Arsenal
- Everton 1-1 Leeds
- Leeds 1-0 Fulham
- Derby 1-3 Leeds
- Newcastle 4-3 Leeds
Nottingham Forest preview: Goalkeeper crisis solved
Forest’s John Victor was ruled out for the rest of the season with a knee injury, and Dyche’s problems were compounded when Matz Sels was withdrawn at half time last weekend with an injury. The Tricky Trees signed Stefan Ortega on deadline day, which means the German is in line to make his debut at Elland Road. Furthermore, Neco Williams was shown a red against Crystal Palace for a deliberate handball and will have to sit this one out.
Predicted lineup: Ortega; Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Morato; Sangare, Anderson; Hudson-Odoi, Gibbs-White, Dominguez; Igor Jesus
Last five matches
- Nottm Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace
- Nottm Forest 4-0 Ferencvaros
- Brentford 0-2 Nottm Forest
- Braga 1-0 Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest 0-0 Arsenal
Player to watch: Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be crucial in Leeds’ bid to maintain their Premier League status, and is likely to score more goals between now and the end of the season.
The former Everton man is already the top scorer for the club in the league with nine goals, making up 29% of the team’s total.
The forward has now had three blanks in a row, but scored five goals in his previous six appearances, and he will be hoping to rediscover that form against Forest on Friday night.