After their shocking win against Chelsea in midweek, Leeds will be looking to put some distance between themselves and the drop zone when they host Liverpool on Saturday, December 6.
The Merseysiders’ respite from a poor run of form was short-lived, after they were held to a 1-1 draw by another newly-promoted team in Sunderland at Anfield during the week.
Now 11 points adrift of leaders Arsenal in the Premier League table, it appears that Liverpool’s title defence is all but over, which the hosts may want to take advantage of this weekend.
Explore our Tottenham vs Brentford betting tips below.
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Leeds vs Liverpool prediction: Elland Road hell
Key stats
- Leeds just ended a four-game losing streak against top-four hopefuls Chelsea.
- The Whites lost only two of their last 14 matches at Elland Road.
- Liverpool have won just two of their last nine Premier League fixtures.
- The Reds have not drawn any of their last 16 games away from Anfield in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 2-2 Liverpool
Leeds will certainly be fired up to face the wounded Premier League champions, and after Daniel Farke shifted his formation against Man City and Chelsea, there is renewed hope at Elland Road. Liverpool would have had few complaints if they had been beaten by Sunderland during the week, such was their performance. If they rock up at Leeds with a similar stance, they are in for a long evening.
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Pre-game odds and win probability: Away side hot favourites
- HOME: 16/5 (4.2) – 23.8%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.9) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is not surprising that Ladbrokes have Liverpool down as overwhelming favourites to beat Leeds, giving the Reds a 57.1% chance to do so. In fact, there is a greater chance of a stalemate than a home win, which comes in at a 25.6% probability. With Leeds giving City a hard time last week and beating the high-flying Club World Cup champions, they are likely to secure a point here, considering the rut Liverpool are in.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: The Reds in front
Liverpool have won 10 of the last 14 meetings with Leeds, losing only once. The home side last won this fixture at Elland Road in 2000. However, in the Whites’ previous full season in the Premier League, they managed a rare 2-1 victory at Anfield, which was avenged spectacularly with a 6-1 Liverpool victory in the Elland Road reverse.
England Premier League 17/04/23
Leeds
Liverpool
England Premier League 29/10/22
Liverpool
Leeds
England Premier League 23/02/22
Liverpool
Leeds
England Premier League 12/09/21
Leeds
Liverpool
England Premier League 19/04/21
Leeds
Liverpool
Leeds preview: New formation to yield results
In the second half of the game against Man City, Farke switched to three central defenders, which started paying dividends. The manager employed the same tactic against Chelsea, and it was highly successful. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha are both serious doubts for this one, which means Joel Piroe and Noah Okafor may step in.
Predicted lineup: Perri; Rodon, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Stach, Gruev, Ampadu, Gudmundsson; Piroe, Okafor
Last five games
- Leeds 3-1 Chelsea
- Man City 3-2 Leeds
- Leeds 1-2 Aston Villa
- Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds
- Brighton 3-0 Leeds
Liverpool preview: Rotation needed again
Connor Bradley may be fit enough to return to the starting lineup, while Joe Gomez is unlikely to start three games within a week. After Chiesa’s heroics last time out, he may have done enough to warrant a first start for the Italian. Meanwhile, a certain Egyptian started off the bench in two consecutive fixtures and may be in line for a return to the starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Alisson; Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Jones; Salah, Wirtz, Chiesa; Ekitike
Last five games
- Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland
- West Ham 0-2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 1-4 PSV
- Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest
- Man City 3-0 Liverpool
Player to watch: Mo Salah
While he has been struggling for goals recently, resulting in him occupying a space on the bench for two games in a row, Salah is probably the best option that Liverpool have up front for now. Salah has 10 goal involvements in just six meetings with Leeds, scoring nine goals in that run.