🔥 Our Hot tip

Leeds or draw

Leeds have lost just one of their five Premier League home matches this season.

Leeds will take on Aston Villa on Sunday, 23 November, as Daniel Farke prepares for a four-game stretch that could seal his fate at Elland Road.

The Whites will face four of the best teams in the division over the next couple of weeks, with this match arguably being the most favourable of the four.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction below.

Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction: The hosts to take something

Key Stats

  • Aston Villa have only won one of their five Premier League away matches this season.
  • Only 11 goals have been scored at Elland Road this season.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Aston Villa's last four matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-1 Aston Villa

Leeds's form guide may look poor on the face of it, but three of their last four matches have been played away from home, and they are a different side at Elland Road.

Bet on 40/1 odds on Leeds to score at Parimatch

As you can see from our prediction, we expect Leeds to find the net in this match and if you agree without assessment, then you should take advantage of this special promo offer from Parimatch and get 40/1 odds on Leeds to score!

18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet max £1 on Leeds United To Score – yes – 90 min v Aston Villa. No cash out. Enhanced odds paid in Free Bets; to be used on any Sports market. Free Bets expire in 7 days. Offer valid until 14:00 UK time on 23.11.2025.   Scroll down for T&Cs. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly

Get the offer > >

Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts go in as underdogs

  • HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Leeds vs Aston Villa odds make for interesting reading, as although the visitors are the favourites, the bookies aren't entirely convinced. Ladbrokes have given Aston Villa a 41.7% chance of winning the match, while Leeds have been given a 33.3% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Villa

Aston Villa should take plenty of confidence from their recent record against Leeds, winning three and drawing two of their last meetings with the Whites. Leeds haven't beaten Villa at Elland Road since 2016, back when both sides were in the Championship.

England Premier League 13/01/23

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2
Leeds

Leeds

1

England Premier League 02/10/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

Elite Club Friendlies 17/07/22

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 10/03/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

England Premier League 09/02/22

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3
Leeds

Leeds

3

Leeds preview: A clean bill of health

Daniel Farke confirmed in his pre-match press conference that he has zero fitness concerns for this one, meaning that Sebastiaan Bornauw and Wilfried Gnonto must be available after their respective injury layoffs.

Predicted lineup: Perri (GK), Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson, Ampadu, Stach, Longstaff, Aaronson, Nmecha, Okafor

Last five results

  • Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds
  • Brighton 3-0 Leeds
  • Leeds 2-1 West Ham
  • Burnley 2-0 Leeds
  • Leeds 1-2 Tottenham

Aston Villa preview: Several players in a race to be fit

Aston Villa had a bit of a nightmare international break as four players came back with niggles. Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Lamare Bogarde and Amadou Onana are all carrying knocks, but Unai Emery has stated that he expects all four to be available.

Predicted lineup: Martinez(GK), Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne, Tielemans, Kamara, McGinn, Rogers, Buendia, Watkins

Last five results

  • Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth
  • Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
  • Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
  • Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Aston Villa

Player to watch: Ollie Watkins

After reaching double digits in each of his five full seasons at Villa Park, Ollie Watkins has had a slow start to the current campaign. With just one Premier League goal to his name so far, he could perhaps just need another one to kickstart a run of form.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.