Leeds vs Arsenal prediction, odds & betting tips – 31/01/2026
Arsenal are the bookies' favourites. Photo by Imago / Sportimage
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Four of both club's last five games have seen both teams score.

Arsenal return to Premier League action on Saturday afternoon after beating Kairat 3-2 at the Emirates Stadium in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) in midweek. It ensured a faultless league phase campaign for the Gunners, who finished top with eight wins out of eight.

They are also top of the Premier League, but are enduring a bit of a wobble after losing 3-2 at home to Manchester United last time out. Meanwhile, Leeds drew 1-1 at Everton, but return to Elland Road where they have been so strong in recent outings.

Leeds vs Arsenal prediction: Gunners to feel frustrated again?

Key stats

  • Leeds are unbeaten in five home games.
  • Arsenal are winless in three league matches.
  • The last three H2Hs at Elland Road have averaged two goals per clash.

Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-1 Arsenal

Given Leeds' strong home form, and Arsenal's stumble in the league, we can see the hosts getting a positive result here. The Gunners may have to settle for just a draw, which could allow their title rivals to pounce once again.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Arsenal have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on their travels. A draw can still be backed at 25%, while a Leeds win is rated at just over 17%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Arsenal on top

Arsenal have actually won the last seven meetings between the two sides in all competitions. That includes the 5-0 thrashing of Leeds at the Emirates earlier this season, although Elland Road provides a different test.

England Premier League 23/08/25

Arsenal

Arsenal

5
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 01/04/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

4
Leeds

Leeds

1

England Premier League 16/10/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 08/05/22

Arsenal

Arsenal

2
Leeds

Leeds

1

England Premier League 18/12/21

Leeds

Leeds

1
Arsenal

Arsenal

4

Leeds preview: Gudmundsson still a doubt

Gabriel Gudmundsson is still a doubt for Leeds, but there is still a small chance he could be involved. Lukas Nmecha is not far away either.

Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK); Rodon, Struijk, Bornauw; Bogle, Gruev, Stach, Ampadu, Justin; Aaronson & Calvert-Lewin

Last five results:

  • Everton 1-1 Leeds
  • Leeds 1-0 Fulham
  • Derby 1-3 Leeds
  • Newcastle 4-3 Leeds
  • Leeds 1-1 Manchester United

Arsenal preview: Calafiori and Havertz to play?

Both Riccardo Calafiori and Kai Havertz returned from injury against Kairat, and the latter was particularly impressive in his cameo. They could both start against Leeds, with Martin Zubimendi potentially taken out of the firing line after his big mistake against United.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK); Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Rice, Odegaard, Havertz; Saka, Gyokeres & Trossard

Last five results:

  • Arsenal 3-2 Kairat
  • Arsenal 2-3 Manchester United
  • Inter Milan 1-3 Arsenal
  • Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal
  • Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal

Player to watch: Kai Havertz

Kai Havertz is back for Arsenal. Photo by Imago / Paul Terry / Sportimage

Kai Havertz marked his return to the Arsenal team with a goal and assist against Kairat. His cameo, albeit small, was impressive, and so he could have earned himself a start against Leeds.

england premier league predictions

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.